PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Club Friendly Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg
A

Aarhus Fremad

Home Side
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L
VS
11:00 am
Club Friendly
S
Silkeborg
Away Side
L L W L L
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Wednesday, 8th July 2026
Best Odds 1.40
Confidence 83%
Implied Prob 71.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
71.4%
Based on 1.40 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+11.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
40.5%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Aarhus Fremad
1
Draws
7
Silkeborg
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Aarhus Fremad
Metric
Silkeborg
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.7%
A2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.2%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
A3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (8.4%) 2-1 (8.2%) 1-2 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Aarhus Fremad
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Silkeborg
Overall
5.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.07.25CF
Silkeborg1
Aarhus Fremad3
31.01.23CF
Silkeborg2
Aarhus Fremad1
13.08.08CUP
Aarhus Fremad1
Silkeborg3
20.03.081D
Silkeborg0
Aarhus Fremad0
13.10.071D
Aarhus Fremad1
Silkeborg3
17.04.062DIV
Aarhus Fremad3
Silkeborg1
13.08.052DIV
Silkeborg3
Aarhus Fremad2
23.05.041D
Silkeborg5
Aarhus Fremad0
06.09.031D
Aarhus Fremad0
Silkeborg3
18.04.01CUP
Aarhus Fremad0
Silkeborg1
Recent Form
Aarhus Fremad
04.07.26CF
Esbjerg2
Aarhus Fremad0
L
26.06.26CF
Aarhus Fremad1
Brann2
L
30.05.261D
B.932
Aarhus Fremad2
D
22.05.261D
Aarhus Fremad5
Aalborg0
W
14.05.261D
Hobro0
Aarhus Fremad3
W
09.05.261D
Aarhus Fremad0
Koge0
D
01.05.261D
Middelfart0
Aarhus Fremad1
W
26.04.261D
Aarhus Fremad0
Hobro1
L
22.04.261D
Aarhus Fremad5
Middelfart1
W
18.04.261D
Aalborg3
Aarhus Fremad1
L
Silkeborg
04.07.26CF
Midtjylland4
Silkeborg2
L
27.06.26CF
Silkeborg1
Fredericia2
L
01.06.26CF
Young Boys1
Silkeborg8
W
17.05.26SL
Fredericia4
Silkeborg1
L
10.05.26SL
Silkeborg0
FC Copenhagen4
L
03.05.26SL
Odense2
Silkeborg3
W
26.04.26SL
Silkeborg2
Randers FC0
W
22.04.26SL
Vejle1
Silkeborg2
W
19.04.26SL
Silkeborg2
Fredericia2
D
12.04.26SL
Silkeborg3
Odense1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Aarhus Fremad host Silkeborg at N/A in Club Friendly. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Aarhus Fremad arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Silkeborg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Aarhus Fremad, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Silkeborg's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Club Friendly preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.40, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 11:00 am.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Aarhus Fremad vs Silkeborg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Aarhus Fremad's current form?
Aarhus Fremad have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Silkeborg been performing recently?
Silkeborg have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Aarhus Fremad lead with 2 wins versus Silkeborg's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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