WON
Result: Essendon Royals SC 3-2 Werribee
DirectWinPredict Australia Victoria PL 2 Essendon Royals SC vs Werribee
E

Essendon Royals SC

Home Side
W W L W W
8W 0D 2L
VS
3-2
Australia Victoria PL 2
W
Werribee
Away Side
L W L W L
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Essendon Royals SC to win — Friday, 19th June 2026
Best Odds 1.46
Confidence 38%
Implied Prob 68.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Essendon Royals SC to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
68.5%
Based on 1.46 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-30.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Essendon Royals SC
0
Draws
0
Werribee
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Essendon Royals SC won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Essendon Royals SC
Metric
Werribee
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
E0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
E1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
E2
2-0 8.0%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
E3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
E4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
E5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 2-0 (8.0%) 3-1 (7.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓   W=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Essendon Royals SC Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Werribee Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Essendon Royals SC
Overall
8.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.7
Werribee
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.03.26VPL2
Werribee City1
Essendon Royals SC3
Recent Form
Essendon Royals SC
13.06.26VPL2
Malvern2
Essendon Royals SC4
W
05.06.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC8
Springvale0
W
30.05.26VPL2
Goulburn Valley Suns1
Essendon Royals SC0
L
22.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC5
Nunawading City1
W
15.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC3
Moreland City1
W
08.05.26VPL2
Keilor Park1
Essendon Royals SC0
L
01.05.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC2
Eastern Lions1
W
25.04.26VPL2
Altona City0
Essendon Royals SC2
W
17.04.26VPL2
Kingston City0
Essendon Royals SC3
W
10.04.26VPL2
Essendon Royals SC4
Whittlesea United3
W
Werribee
12.06.26VPL2
Whittlesea United4
Werribee City0
L
05.06.26VPL2
Box Hill0
Werribee City2
W
30.05.26VPL2
Bayside Argonauts2
Werribee City0
L
22.05.26VPL2
Kingston City0
Werribee City2
W
15.05.26VPL2
Werribee City0
Malvern1
L
08.05.26VPL2
Springvale1
Werribee City0
L
02.05.26VPL2
Werribee City2
Goulburn Valley Suns2
D
25.04.26VPL2
Nunawading City1
Werribee City4
W
18.04.26VPL2
Werribee City3
Moreland City1
W
10.04.26VPL2
Keilor Park2
Werribee City1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Essendon Royals SC host Werribee in Australia Victoria PL 2. We recommend Essendon Royals SC to win as the standout selection.

Essendon Royals SC arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Werribee are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Essendon Royals SC, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Werribee's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: essendon royals sc to win at odds of 1.46 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Australia Victoria PL 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.46 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Essendon Royals SC vs Werribee?
Our selection is 1 — Essendon Royals SC to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 38%.
What is Essendon Royals SC's current form?
Essendon Royals SC have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Werribee been performing recently?
Werribee have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Essendon Royals SC lead with 1 wins versus Werribee's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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