WON

Result: Cork City 4-0 Treaty United

Cork City

Home Side

W W W W W

7W 1D 2L

4-0

Ireland Division 1

Treaty United

Away Side

D L L L W

2W 4D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Cork City to win — Friday, 19th June 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 60%

Implied Prob 80%

60%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Cork City

Draws

Treaty United

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

20%

Over 2.5

1.8

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Cork City won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Cork City

Metric

Treaty United

1.8

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.5

Goals Against / Game

1.4

50%

Clean Sheet %

30%

7-1-2

W — D — L

2-4-4

Win Rate Comparison

70%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 7.3%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.5%

1-1 11.6%

1-2 4.6%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.2%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 2.0%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.5%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (9.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Cork City Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Treaty United Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Cork City

Overall

7.3 ▼

Scoring

6.0 ▼

Defence

8.3 ▼

Treaty United

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

3.7 —

Defence

5.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 37%

Draw & BTTS Yes 9%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 31%

Home Win & Under 2.5 31%

Draw & Over 2.5 11%

Draw & Under 2.5 11%

Away Win & Over 2.5 9%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

25.05.26DIV

Treaty United0

Cork City1

13.02.26DIV

Cork City1

Treaty United0

18.01.25CF

Cork City2

Treaty United1

04.10.24DIV

Cork City1

Treaty United1

02.08.24DIV

Treaty United1

Cork City1

24.05.24DIV

Cork City1

Treaty United1

22.03.24DIV

Treaty United0

Cork City0

22.07.23FAI

Treaty United0

Cork City2

21.01.23CF

Cork City3

Treaty United0

12.08.22DIV

Cork City0

Treaty United2

Recent Form

Cork City

12.06.26DIV

Wexford0

Cork City2

29.05.26DIV

Cork City4

Finn Harps0

25.05.26DIV

Treaty United0

Cork City1

22.05.26DIV

Athlone0

Cork City3

16.05.26DIV

Longford0

Cork City2

08.05.26DIV

Cork City3

UC Dublin1

04.05.26DIV

Kerry1

Cork City0

01.05.26DIV

Cork City0

Cobh Ramblers1

24.04.26DIV

Bray1

Cork City1

17.04.26DIV

Cork City2

Wexford1

Treaty United

12.06.26DIV

Treaty United2

Bray2

29.05.26DIV

Longford3

Treaty United1

25.05.26DIV

Treaty United0

Cork City1

22.05.26DIV

Treaty United1

Cobh Ramblers2

15.05.26DIV

Treaty United3

Finn Harps0

08.05.26DIV

Athlone0

Treaty United0

04.05.26DIV

Treaty United1

Wexford0

01.05.26DIV

Bray2

Treaty United2

24.04.26DIV

Treaty United0

UC Dublin3

17.04.26DIV

Kerry1

Treaty United1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Cork City host Treaty United in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Treaty United are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Treaty United's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Treaty United?

Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 60%.

What is Cork City's current form?

Cork City have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Treaty United been performing recently?

Treaty United have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Cork City lead with 5 wins versus Treaty United's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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