WON

Result: Guangdong GZ-Power 1-2 Beijing Gouan

Guangdong GZ-Power

Home Side

W D L W D

6W 2D 2L

1-2

China FA Cup

Beijing Gouan

Away Side

W L D W D

4W 4D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Beijing Gouan to win — Friday, 19th June 2026

Best Odds 1.43

Confidence 46%

Implied Prob 69.9%

30%

20%

50%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Guangdong GZ-Power

Metric

Beijing Gouan

1.7

Goals For / Game

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.6

40%

Clean Sheet %

30%

6-2-2

W — D — L

4-4-2

Win Rate Comparison

60%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 6.5%

0-2 4.7%

0-3 2.3%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 7.4%

1-1 10.8%

1-2 7.8%

1-3 3.8%

1-4 1.4%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 6.1%

2-1 8.9%

2-2 6.5%

2-3 3.1%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 3.4%

3-1 4.9%

3-2 3.6%

3-3 1.7%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 1.4%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.7%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (7.8%) 0-1 (6.5%) 0-2 (4.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Guangdong GZ-Power Win

30%

3.33

Draw

20%

Beijing Gouan Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Guangdong GZ-Power

Overall

6.6 ▲

Scoring

5.7 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

Beijing Gouan

Overall

5.2 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 14%

Draw & BTTS No 9%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 28%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form

Guangdong GZ-Power

13.06.26L1

Dingnan Ganlian1

Guangdong GZ-Power3

29.05.26L1

Guangdong GZ-Power0

Shenzhen Juniors0

24.05.26L1

Guangdong GZ-Power3

Yanbian Longding4

17.05.26FAC

Wuhan Lianzhen0

Guangdong GZ-Power1

10.05.26L1

Dalian K’un City1

Guangdong GZ-Power1

02.05.26L1

Guangdong GZ-Power3

Nantong Zhiyun1

26.04.26L1

Changchun Yatai1

Guangdong GZ-Power2

19.04.26L1

Guangdong GZ-Power3

Meizhou Hakka0

11.04.26L1

Guangdong GZ-Power1

Wuxi Wugou0

04.04.26L1

Guangxi Hengchen1

Guangdong GZ-Power0

Beijing Gouan

30.05.26SL

Chongqing Tonglianglong2

Beijing Guoan3

23.05.26SL

Beijing Guoan1

Henan Songshan Longmen2

19.05.26SL

Qingdao West Coast1

Beijing Guoan1

15.05.26SL

Beijing Guoan4

Qingdao Hainiu2

10.05.26SL

Beijing Guoan2

Shanghai Port2

06.05.26SL

Beijing Guoan3

Dalian Yingbo0

02.05.26SL

Yunnan Yukun3

Beijing Guoan3

25.04.26SL

Beijing Guoan2

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger4

21.04.26SL

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng0

Beijing Guoan1

17.04.26SL

Zhejiang Professional0

Beijing Guoan0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Guangdong GZ-Power host Beijing Gouan in China FA Cup. We recommend Beijing Gouan to win as the standout selection.

Guangdong GZ-Power arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Beijing Gouan are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 4D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: beijing gouan to win at odds of 1.43 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this China FA Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.43 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Guangdong GZ-Power vs Beijing Gouan?

Our selection is 2 — Beijing Gouan to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 46%.

What is Guangdong GZ-Power's current form?

Guangdong GZ-Power have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Beijing Gouan been performing recently?

Beijing Gouan have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

No recent head-to-head data available.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.

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