WON
Result: Brno 4-1 Ceske Budejovice
DirectWinPredict Czech CHNL Brno vs Ceske Budejovice
B

Brno

Home Side
D W D W W
7W 2D 1L
VS
4-1
Czech CHNL
C
Ceske Budejovice
Away Side
L D W L L
3W 1D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Brno to win — Saturday, 23rd May 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 51%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
3
Brno
1
Draws
6
Ceske Budejovice
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Against Pick Brno won 3 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Brno
Metric
Ceske Budejovice
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
50%
Clean Sheet %
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
B0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 12.6%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.0%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.0%) 2-0 (9.8%) 2-1 (8.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Brno Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ceske Budejovice Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Brno
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Ceske Budejovice
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.07.25CHNL
Ceske Budejovice0
Brno2
26.04.231L
Brno1
Ceske Budejovice1
01.03.23CUP
Ceske Budejovice2
Brno1
05.11.221L
Ceske Budejovice3
Brno2
11.04.211L
Ceske Budejovice0
Brno2
06.12.201L
Brno1
Ceske Budejovice3
17.03.19CHNL
Ceske Budejovice3
Brno2
17.08.18CHNL
Brno2
Ceske Budejovice1
08.07.17CF
Brno0
Ceske Budejovice2
08.07.15CF
Brno0
Ceske Budejovice1
Recent Form
Brno
16.05.26CHNL
Kromeriz1
Brno1
D
10.05.26CHNL
Brno1
Vlasim0
W
06.05.26CHNL
Ostrava B1
Brno1
D
02.05.26CHNL
Brno3
Usti nad Labem0
W
26.04.26CHNL
Slavia Prague B0
Brno1
W
19.04.26CHNL
Jihlava1
Brno2
W
15.04.26CHNL
Brno1
Zizkov0
W
11.04.26CHNL
Opava4
Brno0
L
04.04.26CHNL
Brno2
Chrudim0
W
27.03.26CF
Brno3
Teplice1
W
Ceske Budejovice
16.05.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Chrudim2
L
09.05.26CHNL
Prostejov1
Ceske Budejovice1
D
06.05.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice3
Jihlava1
W
01.05.26CHNL
Pribram2
Ceske Budejovice1
L
25.04.26CHNL
Artis Brno2
Ceske Budejovice1
L
19.04.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Kromeriz0
W
15.04.26CHNL
Taborsko1
Ceske Budejovice0
L
10.04.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice1
Usti nad Labem2
L
05.04.26CHNL
Sparta Prague B0
Ceske Budejovice1
W
20.03.26CHNL
Ceske Budejovice0
Zizkov2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Czech CHNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Brno vs Ceske Budejovice?
Our selection is 1 — Brno to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Brno's current form?
Brno have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ceske Budejovice been performing recently?
Ceske Budejovice have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Brno lead with 3 wins versus Ceske Budejovice's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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