WON
Result: Fratria 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
DirectWinPredict Bulgaria Vtora Liga Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
F

Fratria

Home Side
W D L D D
3W 5D 2L
VS
3-0
Bulgaria Vtora Liga
P
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Away Side
W L D L D
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Fratria to win — Saturday, 23rd May 2026
Best Odds 1.26
Confidence 34%
Implied Prob 79.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
0
Fratria
2
Draws
1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
0.3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Fratria won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Fratria
Metric
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheet %
40%
3-5-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
30%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.8%) 2-1 (9.0%) 2-0 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   P=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Fratria Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pirin Blagoevgrad Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Fratria
Overall
4.5
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.11.252L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Fratria0
15.02.252L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Fratria0
03.08.242L
Fratria0
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Recent Form
Fratria
15.05.262L
Belasitsa0
Fratria3
W
11.05.262L
Fratria2
Dunav Ruse2
D
04.05.262L
Vihren2
Fratria1
L
26.04.262L
Fratria2
CSKA Sofia II2
D
16.04.262L
Spartak Pleven1
Fratria1
D
09.04.262L
Fratria3
Lok. Gorna0
W
28.03.262L
Fratria3
Minyor Pernik1
W
23.03.262L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Fratria1
D
15.03.262L
Ludogorets II1
Fratria1
D
08.03.262L
Fratria1
Sevlievo4
L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15.05.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad4
Sevlievo1
W
11.05.262L
Svoge2
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
02.05.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Marek0
D
25.04.262L
Etar3
Pirin Blagoevgrad2
L
16.04.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad2
Hebar2
D
09.04.262L
Chernomorets 19192
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
04.04.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Ludogorets II0
D
29.03.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Belasitsa0
W
21.03.262L
Dunav Ruse0
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
D
15.03.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Vihren1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bulgaria Vtora Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.26 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our selection is 1 — Fratria to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Fratria's current form?
Fratria have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pirin Blagoevgrad been performing recently?
Pirin Blagoevgrad have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fratria lead with 0 wins versus Pirin Blagoevgrad's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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