WON
Result: Rakow 3-0 Arka Gdynia
DirectWinPredict Poland Ekstraklasa Rakow vs Arka Gdynia
R

Rakow

Home Side
W L W L W
6W 2D 2L
VS
3-0
Poland Ekstraklasa
A
Arka Gdynia
Away Side
L D D L L
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Rakow to win — Saturday, 23rd May 2026
Best Odds 1.33
Confidence 62%
Implied Prob 75.2%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Rakow to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
75.2%
Based on 1.33 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Rakow
0
Draws
1
Arka Gdynia
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Rakow won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Rakow
Metric
Arka Gdynia
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheet %
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
R0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
R2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
R3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
R4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.6%) 1-0 (7.4%) 2-0 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Rakow Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Arka Gdynia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Rakow
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.3
Arka Gdynia
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.11.25EKS
Arka Gdynia1
Rakow4
01.03.22CUP
Arka Gdynia0
Rakow2
02.05.21CUP
Rakow2
Arka Gdynia1
26.06.20EKS
Rakow3
Arka Gdynia2
22.02.20EKS
Arka Gdynia3
Rakow2
14.09.19EKS
Rakow2
Arka Gdynia0
Recent Form
Rakow
17.05.26EKS
Piast Gliwice1
Rakow3
W
13.05.26EKS
Rakow0
Jagiellonia2
L
08.05.26EKS
Rakow2
Korona Kielce0
W
02.05.26CUP
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow0
L
25.04.26EKS
Lechia Gdansk1
Rakow2
W
19.04.26EKS
Rakow4
Cracovia1
W
12.04.26EKS
Motor Lublin1
Rakow1
D
09.04.26CUP
Rakow5
(3-3) GKS Katowice4
W
04.04.26EKS
Rakow1
Widzew Lodz1
D
29.03.26CF
Rakow5
S. Rzeszow1
W
Arka Gdynia
18.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia2
Termalica B-B.3
L
13.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
08.05.26EKS
Lech Poznan1
Arka Gdynia1
D
27.04.26EKS
Piast Gliwice4
Arka Gdynia1
L
19.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Jagiellonia3
L
12.04.26EKS
Cracovia2
Arka Gdynia2
D
07.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia3
Zaglebie1
W
22.03.26EKS
Korona Kielce3
Arka Gdynia0
L
15.03.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Widzew Lodz0
D
09.03.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Arka Gdynia3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Poland Ekstraklasa game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.33 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Rakow vs Arka Gdynia?
Our selection is 1 — Rakow to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Rakow's current form?
Rakow have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arka Gdynia been performing recently?
Arka Gdynia have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Rakow lead with 5 wins versus Arka Gdynia's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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