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Result: Lech Poznan 2-2 Wisla Plock
DirectWinPredict Poland Ekstraklasa Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock
L

Lech Poznan

Home Side
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L
VS
2-2
Poland Ekstraklasa
W
Wisla Plock
Away Side
L L L L W
4W 0D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Lech Poznan to win — Saturday, 23rd May 2026
Best Odds 1.26
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 79.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
6
Lech Poznan
2
Draws
2
Wisla Plock
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Lech Poznan won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Lech Poznan
Metric
Wisla Plock
2.1
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
40%
Clean Sheet %
10%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
L0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
L2
2-0 12.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
L3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.1%) 2-0 (12.1%) 2-1 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   W=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Lech Poznan Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Wisla Plock Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Lech Poznan
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
Wisla Plock
Overall
4.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
4.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.11.25EKS
Wisla Plock0
Lech Poznan0
03.02.24CF
Lech Poznan4
Wisla Plock0
11.02.23EKS
Wisla Plock0
Lech Poznan1
31.07.22EKS
Lech Poznan1
Wisla Plock3
16.04.22EKS
Wisla Plock0
Lech Poznan1
22.10.21EKS
Lech Poznan4
Wisla Plock1
14.02.21EKS
Wisla Plock1
Lech Poznan0
30.08.20EKS
Lech Poznan2
Wisla Plock2
29.11.19EKS
Wisla Plock0
Lech Poznan2
26.07.19EKS
Lech Poznan4
Wisla Plock0
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
16.05.26EKS
Radomiak Radom1
Lech Poznan3
W
08.05.26EKS
Lech Poznan1
Arka Gdynia1
D
02.05.26EKS
Motor Lublin0
Lech Poznan1
W
26.04.26EKS
Lech Poznan4
Legia0
W
18.04.26EKS
Pogon Szczecin1
Lech Poznan2
W
12.04.26EKS
Lech Poznan3
GKS Katowice3
D
04.04.26EKS
Jagiellonia0
Lech Poznan0
D
22.03.26EKS
Lech Poznan4
Termalica B-B.1
W
19.03.26UECL
Shakhtar Donetsk1
Lech Poznan2
W
15.03.26EKS
Zaglebie0
Lech Poznan1
W
Wisla Plock
16.05.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Gornik Zabrze1
L
10.05.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Motor Lublin4
L
03.05.26EKS
Pogon Szczecin3
Wisla Plock0
L
26.04.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Radomiak Radom1
L
19.04.26EKS
Termalica B-B.1
Wisla Plock3
W
10.04.26EKS
Wisla Plock1
Lechia Gdansk0
W
04.04.26EKS
GKS Katowice1
Wisla Plock0
L
21.03.26EKS
Jagiellonia1
Wisla Plock2
W
14.03.26EKS
Cracovia1
Wisla Plock2
W
09.03.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Arka Gdynia3
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Poland Ekstraklasa game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.26 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Our selection is 1 — Lech Poznan to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Lech Poznan's current form?
Lech Poznan have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Wisla Plock been performing recently?
Wisla Plock have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lech Poznan lead with 6 wins versus Wisla Plock's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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