WON
Result: Botofogo U20 1-0 Gremio U20
DirectWinPredict Brasileiro U20 Botofogo U20 vs Gremio U20
B

Botofogo U20

Home Side
W D W W W
7W 1D 2L
VS
1-0
Brasileiro U20
G
Gremio U20
Away Side
L L D W L
2W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Botofogo U20 to win — Wednesday, 17th June 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 43%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Botofogo U20 to win
1.38
Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No80%
Implied Prob
72.5%
Based on 1.38 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-29.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Botofogo U20
5
Draws
2
Gremio U20
7
Meetings
29%
BTTS Rate
57%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Against Pick Botofogo U20 won 0 of the last 7 meetings (5 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Botofogo U20
Metric
Gremio U20
0
Goals For / Game
1.1
0
Goals Against / Game
1.9
0%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
B0
0-0 22.3%
0-1 12.3%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 21.2%
1-1 11.7%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.2%) 2-0 (10.1%) 2-1 (5.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Botofogo U20 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gremio U20 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Botofogo U20
Overall
7.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Gremio U20
Overall
2.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 54%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 54%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
02.07.25BRA
Botafogo U204
Gremio U200
04.04.24BRA
Botafogo U201
Gremio U202
27.06.21BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U202
26.09.20BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U200
11.09.19BRA
Gremio U203
Botafogo U200
06.09.17BRA
Gremio U200
Botafogo U201
30.08.17BRA
Botafogo U203
Gremio U201
Recent Form
Botofogo U20
10.06.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Criciuma U200
W
27.05.26BRA
Santos U201
Botafogo U201
D
21.05.26BRA
Athletico-PR U200
Botafogo U203
W
16.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Cruzeiro U201
W
13.05.26BRA
Botafogo U203
Flamengo RJ U201
W
06.05.26BRA
Juventude U200
Botafogo U203
W
29.04.26BRA
Vasco U201
Botafogo U200
L
26.04.26BRA
Botafogo U202
Fortaleza U201
W
22.04.26BRA
Botafogo U201
Bahia U200
W
14.04.26BRA
Cuiaba U203
Botafogo U201
L
Gremio U20
14.06.26GAU
Gremio U200
Internacional U201
L
10.06.26BRA
Gremio U200
Fluminense U203
L
05.06.26GAU
Gremio U200
Novo Hamburgo U200
D
31.05.26GAU
Novo Hamburgo U200
Gremio U201
W
27.05.26BRA
Cuiaba U202
Gremio U200
L
24.05.26GAU
Gremio U202
SC Ivoti U200
W
21.05.26BRA
RB Bragantino U205
Gremio U204
L
16.05.26BRA
Gremio U201
Avai U201
D
12.05.26BRA
Vitoria U202
Gremio U201
L
06.05.26BRA
Cruzeiro U205
Gremio U202
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Botofogo U20 host Gremio U20 in Brasileiro U20. We recommend Botofogo U20 to win as the standout selection.

Botofogo U20 arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gremio U20 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 2D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Botofogo U20, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Gremio U20's 2, with 5 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: botofogo u20 to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brasileiro U20 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Botofogo U20 vs Gremio U20?
Our selection is 1 — Botofogo U20 to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Botofogo U20's current form?
Botofogo U20 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gremio U20 been performing recently?
Gremio U20 have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Botofogo U20 lead with 0 wins versus Gremio U20's 2, with 5 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
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