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Result: Bohemians 1-1 Waterford
DirectWinPredict Ireland Premier Division Bohemians vs Waterford
B

Bohemians

Home Side
D D D W W
6W 4D 0L
VS
1-1
Ireland Premier Division
W
Waterford
Away Side
D L L L L
0W 3D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Bohemians to win — Monday, 6th April 2026
Best Odds 1.29
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 77.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Bohemians to win
1.29
Under 2.5 Goals65% Bohemians Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-24.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Bohemians
1
Draws
4
Waterford
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.1
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Bohemians won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Bohemians
Metric
Waterford
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.4
Goals Against / Game
2.4
70%
Clean Sheet %
10%
6-4-0
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate Comparison
60%
0%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
B0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 15.2%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 2.7%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
B2
2-0 14.9%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
B3
3-0 9.7%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 4.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.2%) 2-0 (14.9%) 3-0 (9.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   W=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Bohemians Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Waterford Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Bohemians
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.7
Waterford
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 22%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 41%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
06.03.26
PD: Waterford0
Bohemians1
30.01.26
CF: Waterford1
Bohemians4
19.09.25
PD: Bohemians2
Waterford1
20.06.25
PD: Waterford2
Bohemians1
02.05.25
PD: Bohemians1
Waterford2
07.03.25
PD: Waterford0
Bohemians3
01.02.25
CF: Waterford1
Bohemians2
25.10.24
PD: Waterford1
Bohemians1
09.08.24
PD: Bohemians2
Waterford3
31.05.24
PD: Waterford2
Bohemians1
Recent Form
Bohemians
03.04.26
PD: Drogheda United0
Bohemians0
D
20.03.26
PD: Bohemians1
Dundalk FC1
D
16.03.26
PD: Shelbourne0
Bohemians0
D
13.03.26
PD: Bohemians1
Galway United0
W
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Bohemians1
W
27.02.26
PD: Bohemians3
Shamrock Rovers2
W
20.02.26
PD: Derry City0
Bohemians1
W
14.02.26
PD: Sligo Rovers0
Bohemians4
W
08.02.26
PD: Bohemians0
St Patrick’s0
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC1
Bohemians4
W
Waterford
03.04.26
PD: Waterford FC1
Shamrock Rovers1
D
20.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
St Patrick’s2
L
16.03.26
PD: Galway United4
Waterford FC3
L
13.03.26
PD: Dundalk FC5
Waterford FC0
L
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Bohemians1
L
27.02.26
PD: Derry City4
Waterford FC2
L
20.02.26
PD: Waterford FC0
Sligo Rovers0
D
13.02.26
PD: Drogheda United2
Waterford FC0
L
06.02.26
PD: Waterford FC1
Shelbourne1
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC1
Bohemians4
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Bohemians host Waterford in Ireland Premier Division. We recommend Bohemians to win as the standout selection.

Bohemians arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Waterford are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bohemians, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Waterford's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bohemians to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Premier Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our selection is 1 — Bohemians to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Bohemians's current form?
Bohemians have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Waterford been performing recently?
Waterford have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bohemians lead with 5 wins versus Waterford's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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