WON
Result: Chelsea W 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur W
DirectWinPredict England Women FA Cup Chelsea W vs Tottenham Hotspur W
C

Chelsea W

Home Side
W W L D W
7W 1D 2L
VS
2-1
England Women FA Cup
T
Tottenham Hotspur W
Away Side
L L L W W
4W 1D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Chelsea W to win — Monday, 6th April 2026
Best Odds 1.10
Confidence 73%
Implied Prob 90.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Chelsea W to win
1.10
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
90.9%
Based on 1.10 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
10
Chelsea W
0
Draws
0
Tottenham Hotspur W
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Chelsea W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Chelsea W
Metric
Tottenham Hotspur W
1.8
Goals For / Game
2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2.2
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
70%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
C0
0-0 2.5%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
C1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.6%
C2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
C3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
C4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
C5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.4%) 3-1 (5.6%) 1-0 (4.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Chelsea W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Tottenham Hotspur W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Chelsea W
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
Tottenham Hotspur W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
2.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham0
Chelsea2
12.10.25
WSL: Chelsea1
Tottenham0
04.05.25
WSL: Tottenham0
Chelsea1
20.10.24
WSL: Chelsea5
Tottenham2
15.05.24
WSL: Tottenham0
Chelsea1
01.10.23
WSL: Chelsea2
Tottenham1
05.02.23
WSL: Tottenham2
Chelsea3
25.01.23
Cup: Tottenham1
Chelsea3
20.11.22
WSL: Chelsea3
Tottenham0
28.08.22
Friendly: Chelsea2
Tottenham0
Recent Form
Chelsea W
01.04.26
UWCL: Chelsea1
Arsenal - W (Agg: 2-3)0
29.03.26
WSL: Chelsea4
Aston Villa3
W
24.03.26
UWCL: Arsenal3
Chelsea1
L
21.03.26
WSL: London City Lionesses1
Chelsea1
D
18.03.26
WSL: Chelsea2
Brighton1
W
15.03.26
League Cup: Chelsea2
Manchester Utd0
W
22.02.26
FA Cup: Chelsea2
Manchester Utd1
W
15.02.26
WSL: Chelsea2
Liverpool0
W
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham0
Chelsea2
W
01.02.26
WSL: Manchester City5
Chelsea1
L
Tottenham Hotspur W
28.03.26
WSL: Arsenal5
Tottenham2
L
21.03.26
WSL: Man City5
Tottenham2
L
15.03.26
WSL: Tottenham1
Everton2
L
23.02.26
FA Cup: London City Lionesses2
Tottenham - W (Adv. on Pens)2
15.02.26
WSL: Aston Villa3
Tottenham7
W
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham0
Chelsea2
L
01.02.26
WSL: West Ham1
Tottenham2
W
25.01.26
WSL: Liverpool2
Tottenham0
L
18.01.26
FA Cup: Tottenham3
Leicester0
W
11.01.26
WSL: Tottenham1
Leicester0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Chelsea W host Tottenham Hotspur W in England Women FA Cup. We recommend Chelsea W to win as the standout selection.

Chelsea W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tottenham Hotspur W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Chelsea W, who lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Tottenham Hotspur W's 0, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: chelsea w to win at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this England Women FA Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.10 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Chelsea W vs Tottenham Hotspur W?
Our selection is 1 — Chelsea W to win, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Chelsea W's current form?
Chelsea W have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tottenham Hotspur W been performing recently?
Tottenham Hotspur W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chelsea W lead with 10 wins versus Tottenham Hotspur W's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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