WON

Result: Cork City 4-2 Kerry

Cork City

Home Side

D W W W D

8W 2D 0L

4-2

Ireland Division 1

Kerry

Away Side

L L W D D

1W 3D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Cork City to win — Monday, 6th April 2026

Best Odds 1.31

Confidence 68%

Implied Prob 76.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Cork City to win

1.31

BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

76.3%

Based on 1.31 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-8.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Cork City

Draws

Kerry

Meetings

57%

BTTS Rate

43%

Over 2.5

2.9

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Cork City won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Cork City

Metric

Kerry

2.1

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.6

Goals Against / Game

1.8

40%

Clean Sheet %

10%

8-2-0

W — D — L

1-3-6

Win Rate Comparison

80%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.1%

0-1 5.2%

0-2 2.2%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.9%

1-1 10.1%

1-2 4.3%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 4.2%

2-3 1.2%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 7.5%

3-1 6.4%

3-2 2.7%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 3.7%

4-1 3.1%

4-2 1.3%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.4%

5-1 1.2%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.9%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ K=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Cork City Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Kerry Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Cork City

Overall

8.6 ▲

Scoring

7.0 ▲

Defence

8.0 ▲

Kerry

Overall

1.9 ▼

Scoring

3.7 ▼

Defence

4.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 49%

Home Win & BTTS No 21%

Draw & BTTS Yes 15%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%

Away Win & BTTS No 2%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 39%

Home Win & Under 2.5 32%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 4%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

04.02.26

CF: Cork City4

Kerry FC1

05.02.25

CF: Kerry FC1

Cork City2

13.09.24

DIV: Kerry FC1

Cork City4

26.07.24

DIV: Cork City2

Kerry FC0

03.05.24

DIV: Kerry FC0

Cork City1

16.02.24

DIV: Cork City2

Kerry FC0

14.04.09

LC: Kerry FC1

Cork City (Cork won via Pens)1

Recent Form

Cork City

03.04.26

First Div: Finn Harps0

Cork City0

27.03.26

First Div: Cork City4

Athlone Town1

20.03.26

First Div: UC Dublin0

Cork City1

13.03.26

First Div: Cork City2

Longford Town1

06.03.26

First Div: Cobh Ramblers1

Cork City1

27.02.26

First Div: Cork City1

Bray Wanderers0

20.02.26

First Div: Wexford FC1

Cork City4

13.02.26

First Div: Cork City1

Treaty United0

04.02.26

Friendly: Cork City4

Kerry FC1

29.01.26

Friendly: Cork City3

Galway United1

Kerry

03.04.26

First Div: Kerry FC1

Cobh Ramblers2

27.03.26

First Div: Bray Wanderers2

Kerry FC1

20.03.26

First Div: Kerry FC1

Finn Harps0

13.03.26

First Div: Wexford FC1

Kerry FC1

06.03.26

First Div: Treaty United2

Kerry FC2

27.02.26

First Div: Kerry FC1

Longford Town1

20.02.26

First Div: Kerry FC0

Athlone Town1

13.02.26

First Div: UC Dublin2

Kerry FC1

04.02.26

Friendly: Cork City4

Kerry FC1

20.01.26

Friendly: Waterford FC3

Kerry FC2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Cork City host Kerry in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kerry are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Kerry's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 57% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Kerry?

Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Cork City's current form?

Cork City have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Kerry been performing recently?

Kerry have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Cork City lead with 6 wins versus Kerry's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.

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