WON
Result: Juventus 2-0 Genoa
DirectWinPredict Serie A Juventus vs Genoa
J

Juventus

Home Side
D W W D W
3W 3D 4L
VS
2-0
Serie A
G
Genoa
Away Side
L W W L W
4W 2D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Juventus to win — Monday, 6th April 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 49%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Juventus to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
71.9%
Based on 1.39 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Juventus
2
Draws
1
Genoa
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Juventus won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Juventus
Metric
Genoa
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheet %
40%
3-3-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate Comparison
30%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
J0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 5.6%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.4%
J1
1-0 6.3%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.6%
1-3 4.7%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.6%
J2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
J3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 4.2%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
J4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
J5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.1%) 1-0 (6.3%) 2-0 (4.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · J=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Juventus Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Genoa Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Juventus
Overall
3.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.7
Genoa
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.08.25
Serie A: Genoa0
Juventus1
29.03.25
Serie A: Juventus1
Genoa0
28.09.24
Serie A: Genoa0
Juventus3
17.03.24
Serie A: Juventus0
Genoa0
15.12.23
Serie A: Genoa1
Juventus1
06.05.22
Serie A: Genoa2
Juventus1
05.12.21
Serie A: Juventus2
Genoa0
11.04.21
Serie A: Juventus3
Genoa1
13.01.21
Coppa Italia: Juventus3
(AET) Genoa2
13.12.20
Serie A: Genoa1
Juventus3
Recent Form
Juventus
21.03.26
Serie A: Juventus1
Sassuolo1
D
14.03.26
Serie A: Udinese0
Juventus1
W
07.03.26
Serie A: Juventus4
Pisa0
W
01.03.26
Serie A: AS Roma3
Juventus3
D
25.02.26
UWCL: Juventus3
Galatasaray0
W
21.02.26
Serie A: Juventus0
Como2
L
17.02.26
UWCL: Galatasaray5
Juventus2
L
14.02.26
Serie A: Inter Milan3
Juventus2
L
08.02.26
Serie A: Juventus2
Lazio2
D
05.02.26
Coppa Italia: Atalanta3
Juventus0
L
Genoa
20.03.26
Serie A: Genoa0
Udinese2
L
15.03.26
Serie A: Verona0
Genoa2
W
08.03.26
Serie A: Genoa2
AS Roma1
W
28.02.26
Serie A: Inter Milan2
Genoa0
L
22.02.26
Serie A: Genoa3
Torino0
W
15.02.26
Serie A: Cremonese0
Genoa0
D
07.02.26
Serie A: Genoa2
Napoli3
L
30.01.26
Serie A: Lazio3
Genoa2
L
25.01.26
Serie A: Genoa3
Bologna2
W
18.01.26
Serie A: Parma0
Genoa0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Serie A game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Juventus vs Genoa?
Our selection is 1 — Juventus to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Juventus's current form?
Juventus have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Genoa been performing recently?
Genoa have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Juventus lead with 7 wins versus Genoa's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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