WON
Result: Auda 7-0 Grobina
DirectWinPredict Latvia Virsliga Auda vs Grobina
A

Auda

Home Side
W W W D L
7W 1D 2L
VS
7-0
Latvia Virsliga
G
Grobina
Away Side
D D L L D
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Auda to win — Thursday, 7th May 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
6
Auda
3
Draws
1
Grobina
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
30%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Auda won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Auda
Metric
Grobina
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
A0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.8%) 2-0 (10.0%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Auda Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Grobina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Auda
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.0
Grobina
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
6.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
09.11.25VIR
Grobina2
Auda2
24.08.25VIR
Auda1
Grobina0
06.08.25LC
Auda1
Grobina0
18.06.25VIR
Grobina1
Auda2
24.04.25VIR
Auda2
Grobina0
22.09.24VIR
Auda2
Grobina0
02.07.24VIR
Auda0
Grobina1
11.05.24VIR
Grobina2
Auda2
31.03.24VIR
Grobina1
Auda1
Recent Form
Auda
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova1
Auda2
W
26.04.26VIR
Auda2
Tukums 20001
W
21.04.26VIR
Jelgava2
Auda3
W
17.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
D
12.04.26VIR
Auda2
BFC Daugavpils3
L
08.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Auda2
W
04.04.26VIR
RFS0
Auda1
W
20.03.26VIR
Auda1
Riga FC2
L
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
W
08.03.26VIR
Auda2
Super Nova1
W
Grobina
02.05.26VIR
Grobina1
BFC Daugavpils1
D
28.04.26VIR
FK Liepaja1
Grobina1
D
22.04.26VIR
Grobina0
RFS1
L
18.04.26VIR
Grobina0
Riga FC3
L
13.04.26VIR
Ogre United1
Grobina1
D
09.04.26VIR
Grobina0
Super Nova1
L
05.04.26VIR
Tukums 20001
Grobina1
D
21.03.26VIR
Jelgava0
Grobina1
W
14.03.26VIR
Grobina0
Auda2
L
07.03.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Grobina1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Auda host Grobina in Latvia Virsliga. We recommend Auda to win as the standout selection.

Auda arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Grobina are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Auda, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Grobina's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: auda to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Latvia Virsliga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Grobina?
Our selection is 1 — Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Grobina been performing recently?
Grobina have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 6 wins versus Grobina's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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