WON

Result: Fakel Voronezh U19 1-5 CSKA Moscow U19

Fakel Voronezh U19

Home Side

L L L W L

3W 0D 7L

1-5

Russia Youth League

CSKA Moscow U19

Away Side

W W L D W

5W 1D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing CSKA Moscow U19 to win — Thursday, 7th May 2026

Best Odds 1.30

Confidence 63%

Implied Prob 76.9%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win

1.30

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95%

Implied Prob

76.9%

Based on 1.30 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-13.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Fakel Voronezh U19

Draws

CSKA Moscow U19

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

40%

Over 2.5

3.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick CSKA Moscow U19 won 5 of 5 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Fakel Voronezh U19

Metric

CSKA Moscow U19

1.6

Goals For / Game

2.7

2.2

Goals Against / Game

1.7

20%

Clean Sheet %

40%

3-0-7

W — D — L

5-1-4

Win Rate Comparison

30%

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 1.7%

0-1 4.1%

0-2 5.0%

0-3 4.1%

0-4 2.5%

0-5 1.2%

1-0 2.7%

1-1 6.7%

1-2 8.2%

1-3 6.7%

1-4 4.1%

1-5 2.0%

2-0 2.3%

2-1 5.5%

2-2 6.8%

2-3 5.5%

2-4 3.4%

2-5 1.7%

3-0 1.2%

3-1 3.0%

3-2 3.7%

3-3 3.0%

3-4 1.9%

3-5 0.9%

4-0 0.5%

4-1 1.3%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 1.3%

4-4 0.8%

4-5 0.4%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.4%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.3%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (8.2%) 1-3 (6.7%) 2-3 (5.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Fakel Voronezh U19 Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

CSKA Moscow U19 Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Fakel Voronezh U19

Overall

3.0 ▲

Scoring

5.3 ▲

Defence

2.7 ▲

CSKA Moscow U19

Overall

5.3 ▲

Scoring

9.0 ▲

Defence

4.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 3%

Draw & BTTS No 3%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Away Win & BTTS No 30%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 11%

Draw & Over 2.5 4%

Draw & Under 2.5 2%

Away Win & Over 2.5 41%

Away Win & Under 2.5 18%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

15.08.25YL

Fakel Voronezh U192

CSKA Moscow U193

04.04.25YL

CSKA Moscow U191

Fakel Voronezh U190

12.07.24YL

CSKA Moscow U197

Fakel Voronezh U192

12.04.24YL

Fakel Voronezh U190

CSKA Moscow U191

01.12.23YL

CSKA Moscow U192

Fakel Voronezh U190

Recent Form

Fakel Voronezh U19

01.05.26YL

Fakel Voronezh U192

Konoplev Academy U193

24.04.26YL

Dynamo Moscow U192

Fakel Voronezh U190

17.04.26YL

Fakel Voronezh U191

Nizhny Novgorod U192

10.04.26YL

Almaz Antey U190

Fakel Voronezh U191

03.04.26YL

Lokomotiv Moscow U194

Fakel Voronezh U192

20.03.26YL

Spartak Moscow U194

Fakel Voronezh U193

13.03.26YL

Dynamo Makhachkala U192

Fakel Voronezh U190

06.03.26YL

Rubin Kazan U192

Fakel Voronezh U193

21.11.25YL

FK Rostov U193

Fakel Voronezh U190

07.11.25YL

Fakel Voronezh U194

Akhmat Grozny U190

CSKA Moscow U19

01.05.26YL

CSKA Moscow U193

Dynamo Moscow U191

24.04.26YL

Nizhny Novgorod U190

CSKA Moscow U195

17.04.26YL

CSKA Moscow U192

Almaz Antey U193

10.04.26YL

Lokomotiv Moscow U194

CSKA Moscow U194

03.04.26YL

CSKA Moscow U192

Spartak Moscow U190

20.03.26YL

Dynamo Makhachkala U190

CSKA Moscow U192

13.03.26YL

Rubin Kazan U192

CSKA Moscow U194

06.03.26YL

Ural U190

CSKA Moscow U195

21.11.25YL

Krasnodar U190

CSKA Moscow U192

07.11.25YL

CSKA Moscow U193

Spartak Moscow U192

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Fakel Voronezh U19 host CSKA Moscow U19 in Russia Youth League. We recommend CSKA Moscow U19 to win as the standout selection.

Fakel Voronezh U19 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

CSKA Moscow U19 are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Fakel Voronezh U19, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to CSKA Moscow U19's 5, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cska moscow u19 to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Russia Youth League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19?

Our selection is 2 — CSKA Moscow U19 to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

What is Fakel Voronezh U19's current form?

Fakel Voronezh U19 have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.

How has CSKA Moscow U19 been performing recently?

CSKA Moscow U19 have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Fakel Voronezh U19 lead with 0 wins versus CSKA Moscow U19's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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