WON
Result: Mostaganem 0-4 Saoura
DirectWinPredict Algeria Ligue 1 Mostaganem vs Saoura
M

Mostaganem

Home Side
L L W L L
1W 2D 7L
VS
0-4
Algeria Ligue 1
S
Saoura
Away Side
W D W W W
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Saoura to win — Thursday, 7th May 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Saoura to win
1.32
BTTS — No70%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Mostaganem
2
Draws
3
Saoura
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Saoura won 3 of 6 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Mostaganem
Metric
Saoura
0.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
2.6
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheet %
50%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
10%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 15.6%
0-2 14.8%
0-3 9.4%
0-4 4.5%
0-5 1.7%
M1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
M2
2-0 1.5%
2-1 2.8%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
M3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.5%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (15.6%) 0-2 (14.8%) 0-3 (9.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Mostaganem Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Saoura Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Mostaganem
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.3
Saoura
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 49%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
15.01.26CUP
Mostaganem0
Saoura2
20.12.25DIV
Saoura3
Mostaganem2
10.05.25DIV
Saoura0
Mostaganem0
23.11.24DIV
Mostaganem1
Saoura1
18.02.12L2
Mostaganem2
Saoura1
07.10.11L2
Saoura2
Mostaganem1
Recent Form
Mostaganem
10.04.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Khenchela3
L
05.04.26DIV
CR Belouizdad7
Mostaganem0
L
17.03.26DIV
Mostaganem3
Paradou2
W
13.03.26DIV
ASO Chlef1
Mostaganem0
L
07.03.26DIV
Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
L
28.02.26DIV
ES Setif3
Mostaganem0
L
21.02.26DIV
Mostaganem2
Kabylie2
D
14.02.26DIV
Rouisset1
Mostaganem0
L
07.02.26DIV
Mostaganem0
Oran0
D
03.02.26DIV
Constantine2
Mostaganem1
L
Saoura
17.04.26DIV
Saoura3
Khenchela0
W
11.04.26DIV
Paradou1
Saoura1
D
05.04.26DIV
Saoura2
MC Alger1
W
18.03.26DIV
Kabylie0
Saoura1
W
13.03.26DIV
Saoura2
Oran0
W
08.03.26DIV
Olympique Akbou1
Saoura0
L
04.03.26CUP
USM Alger1
Saoura0
L
27.02.26DIV
Saoura1
Ben Aknoun0
W
21.02.26DIV
Saoura1
USM Alger2
W
08.02.26DIV
ASO Chlef0
Saoura1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Algeria Ligue 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mostaganem vs Saoura?
Our selection is 2 — Saoura to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Mostaganem's current form?
Mostaganem have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Saoura been performing recently?
Saoura have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mostaganem lead with 1 wins versus Saoura's 3, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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