WON
Result: Zrinjski 3-2 GOSK Gabala
DirectWinPredict Bosnian Cup Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala
Z

Zrinjski

Home Side
W W W D L
4W 0D 1L
VS
3-2
Bosnian Cup
G
GOSK Gabala
Away Side
L W L W W
3W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Zrinjski to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 67%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Zrinjski to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% GOSK Gabala Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
Zrinjski
0
Draws
1
GOSK Gabala
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Zrinjski won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Zrinjski
Metric
GOSK Gabala
3
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.6
20%
Clean Sheet %
60%
4-0-1
W — D — L
3-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
80%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
Z0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
Z1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
Z2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
Z3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
Z5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Zrinjski Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
GOSK Gabala Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Zrinjski
Overall
8.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
GOSK Gabala
Overall
6.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
8.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski2
⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3
Zrinjski2
⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3
GOSK Gabela0
⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski4
⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski4
Recent Form
Zrinjski
⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski2
⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3
Zrinjski2
⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3
GOSK Gabela0
⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski4
⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski4
GOSK Gabala
⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1
Zrinjski2
⚽ CUP (10.02.26): GOSK Gabela1
Prijedor (0-0 FT, 5-4 Pens)0
⚽ FBiH (16.11.25): Celik Zenica1
GOSK Gabela0
⚽ FBiH (09.11.25): GOSK Gabela2
Hadzici0
⚽ FBiH (02.11.25): Tuzla City0
GOSK Gabela3
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Zrinjski host GOSK Gabala in Bosnian Cup. We recommend Zrinjski to win as the standout selection.

Zrinjski arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

GOSK Gabala are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 0D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zrinjski, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zrinjski to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


This Bosnian Cup quarter-final second leg sees Zrinjski Mostar holding a 2-1 lead from the first leg. Zrinjski is a powerhouse in Bosnian football, currently on a three-game winning streak across all competitions. They are particularly lethal at the Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, where they average over two goals per game. GOSK Gabela, meanwhile, struggles for consistency. Their 1-2 loss at home in the first leg has forced them into an uncomfortable “all-out attack” mode for this trip, which usually plays right into Zrinjski’s clinical counter-attacking style.

Prediction: Zrinjski Win.

  • Must Win: As holders and favorites, Zrinjski won’t settle for a draw to progress; they’ll look to kill the tie early.

  • Form Watcher: Zrinjski has 9 wins in their last 15 games; GOSK Gabela has struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.5 goals recently.

  • H2H: Zrinjski has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, often by large margins (4-1, 3-0).

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala?
Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Zrinjski's current form?
Zrinjski have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has GOSK Gabala been performing recently?
GOSK Gabala have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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