WON

Result: Zrinjski 3-2 GOSK Gabala

Zrinjski

Home Side

W W W D L

4W 0D 1L

3-2

Bosnian Cup

GOSK Gabala

Away Side

L W L W W

3W 0D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Zrinjski to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026

Best Odds 1.18

Confidence 67%

Implied Prob 84.7%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Zrinjski to win

1.18

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% GOSK Gabala Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

84.7%

Based on 1.18 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-17.7%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Zrinjski

Draws

GOSK Gabala

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

4.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Zrinjski won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Zrinjski

Metric

GOSK Gabala

Goals For / Game

1.4

1.2

Goals Against / Game

0.6

20%

Clean Sheet %

60%

4-0-1

W — D — L

3-0-2

Win Rate Comparison

80%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 5.9%

0-2 3.8%

0-3 1.7%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 8.1%

1-1 10.5%

1-2 6.9%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.3%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.2%

2-3 2.7%

2-4 0.9%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.4%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.7%

3-3 1.6%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.0%

4-1 2.6%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.7%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓ G=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Zrinjski Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

GOSK Gabala Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Zrinjski

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

GOSK Gabala

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

8.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%

Home Win & BTTS No 29%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Away Win & BTTS No 22%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 17%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 30%

Away Win & Under 2.5 13%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

Recent Form

Zrinjski

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (30.05.25): GOSK Gabela3

Zrinjski2

⚽ LIG (11.11.24): Zrinjski3

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ LIG (11.08.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

⚽ LIG (13.05.24): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski4

GOSK Gabala

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): GOSK Gabela1

Zrinjski2

⚽ CUP (10.02.26): GOSK Gabela1

Prijedor (0-0 FT, 5-4 Pens)0

⚽ FBiH (16.11.25): Celik Zenica1

GOSK Gabela0

⚽ FBiH (09.11.25): GOSK Gabela2

Hadzici0

⚽ FBiH (02.11.25): Tuzla City0

GOSK Gabela3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

This Bosnian Cup quarter-final second leg sees Zrinjski Mostar holding a 2-1 lead from the first leg. Zrinjski is a powerhouse in Bosnian football, currently on a three-game winning streak across all competitions. They are particularly lethal at the Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, where they average over two goals per game. GOSK Gabela, meanwhile, struggles for consistency. Their 1-2 loss at home in the first leg has forced them into an uncomfortable “all-out attack” mode for this trip, which usually plays right into Zrinjski’s clinical counter-attacking style.

Prediction: Zrinjski Win.

Must Win: As holders and favorites, Zrinjski won’t settle for a draw to progress; they’ll look to kill the tie early.
Form Watcher: Zrinjski has 9 wins in their last 15 games; GOSK Gabela has struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.5 goals recently.
H2H: Zrinjski has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, often by large margins (4-1, 3-0).

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Zrinjski vs GOSK Gabala?

Our selection is 1 — Zrinjski to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Zrinjski's current form?

Zrinjski have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has GOSK Gabala been performing recently?

GOSK Gabala have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Zrinjski lead with 4 wins versus GOSK Gabala's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related