Win Probability
Recent Form
Head-to-Head
- ⚽ CWC (13.07.25): ChelseaPSG30
- ⚽ CL (09.03.16): ChelseaPSG12
- ⚽ CL (16.02.16): PSGChelsea21
- ⚽ ICC (25.07.15): PSGChelsea (5-6 Pens)11
- ⚽ CL (11.03.15): ChelseaPSG22
Recent Matches
- ⚽ L1 (06.03.26): PSGMonaco13
- ⚽ L1 (28.02.26): Le HavrePSG01
- ⚽ CL (25.02.26): PSGMonaco (5-4)22
- ⚽ L1 (21.02.26): PSGMetz30
- ⚽ CL (17.02.26): MonacoPSG23
- ⚽ FAC (07.03.26): WrexhamChelsea (AET)24
- ⚽ PL (04.03.26): Aston VillaChelsea14
- ⚽ PL (01.03.26): ArsenalChelsea21
- ⚽ PL (21.02.26): ChelseaBurnley11
- ⚽ FAC (13.02.26): Hull CityChelsea04
Match Analysis
The Parc des Princes hosts a massive Champions League Round of 16 first leg. PSG, the current holders, are under pressure after a recent domestic slip-up against Monaco (1-3), but they are a different animal in Europe. Luis Enrique’s side relies on high possession and the pace of Barcola and Dembélé. Chelsea, rejuvenated under Liam Rosenior, reached this stage after an impressive group phase where they beat Barcelona. They are solid at the back with Fofana and Badiashile, and João Pedro (18 goals this season) is a constant threat. However, PSG’s experience in two-legged ties against English sides gives them the mental edge.
Prediction: PSG Win & Under 2.5 Goals
-
Must Win: As the home side in the first leg, PSG cannot afford to go to Stamford Bridge without a lead.
-
Form Watcher: Chelsea has won their last two, but PSG has historically dominated this stage, qualifying in their last three knockouts against English clubs.
-
H2H: PSG knocked Chelsea out in both 2015 and 2016; though rosters have changed, the “Parc des Princes” factor remains.