WON

Result: Beveren 3-2 RWDM Brussels

Beveren

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L

3-2

Challenge Pro League

RWDM Brussels

Away Side

W D D L D

1W 3D 1L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Beveren to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026

Best Odds 1.32

Confidence 68%

Implied Prob 75.8%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Beveren to win

1.32

Over 1.5 Goals90% Beveren Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

75.8%

Based on 1.32 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-7.8%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Beveren

Draws

RWDM Brussels

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

20%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Beveren won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Beveren

Metric

RWDM Brussels

2.4

Goals For / Game

1.2

0.4

Goals Against / Game

60%

Clean Sheet %

40%

5-0-0

W — D — L

1-3-1

Win Rate Comparison

100%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 8.2%

0-1 6.6%

0-2 2.6%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.0%

1-1 11.2%

1-2 4.5%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.9%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 3.8%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.7%

3-1 5.4%

3-2 2.2%

3-3 0.6%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.0%) 2-0 (11.9%) 2-1 (9.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Beveren Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

RWDM Brussels Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Beveren

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

8.7 —

RWDM Brussels

Overall

3.8 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 10%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 27%

Home Win & Under 2.5 40%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 5%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ CPL (23.08.25): RWDM Brussels0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (14.03.25): Beveren0

RWDM Brussels2

⚽ CPL (23.11.24): RWDM Brussels0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (16.04.23): RWDM Brussels1

Beveren1

⚽ CPL (04.03.23): Beveren2

RWDM Brussels1

Recent Form

Beveren

⚽ CPL (08.03.26): Sporting Lokeren1

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (28.02.26): Beveren2

OC Charleroi0

⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Patro Eisden1

Beveren4

⚽ CPL (15.02.26): Francs Borains0

Beveren2

⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Beveren2

Lommel SK0

RWDM Brussels

⚽ CPL (07.03.26): OC Charleroi0

RWDM Brussels2

⚽ CPL (01.03.26): RWDM Brussels2

Eupen2

⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Beerschot VA1

RWDM Brussels1

⚽ CPL (14.02.26): RWDM Brussels1

Sporting Lokeren2

⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Francs Borains0

RWDM Brussels0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Beveren host RWDM Brussels in Challenge Pro League. We recommend Beveren to win as the standout selection.

Beveren arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

RWDM Brussels are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Beveren, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: beveren to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Beveren is absolutely flying in the Belgian Challenger Pro League. They sit 1st with 72 points and have already secured promotion. They play with a freedom that makes them dangerous, especially with Mertens in top form. RWDM Brussels is at the opposite end of the spectrum, sitting 11th and recently hit with a 3-point federation penalty. RWDM has struggled for wins, managing only one in their last five. Beveren’s defense has only conceded 18 goals all season—the best in the league by a distance.

Prediction: Beveren Win

Must Win: While already promoted, Beveren wants the league title trophy and to maintain their 100% winning momentum.
Form Watcher: Beveren has 5 wins from their last 5 games; RWDM is winless in 4 of their last 5.
H2H: Beveren has won the last three meetings between these two, all with 2-0 scorelines.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Beveren vs RWDM Brussels?

Our selection is 1 — Beveren to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 68%.

What is Beveren's current form?

Beveren have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has RWDM Brussels been performing recently?

RWDM Brussels have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Beveren lead with 3 wins versus RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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