WON
Result:
Beveren 3-2 RWDM Brussels
B
Beveren
Home Side
W
W
W
W
W
5W 0D 0L
VS
3-2
R
RWDM Brussels
Away Side
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Beveren to win — Wednesday, 11th March 2026
Best Odds
1.32
Confidence
68%
Implied Prob
75.8%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Beveren to win
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Beveren Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Beveren
1
Draws
1
RWDM Brussels
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
20%
Over 2.5
2.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Beveren won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Beveren
Metric
RWDM Brussels
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1
60%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-0-0
W — D — L
1-3-1
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
B0
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
2.6%
0-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
B1
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
4.5%
1-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
B2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
B3
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
3-5
0.0%
B4
4-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
B5
5-0
1.0%
5-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (14.0%)
2-0 (11.9%)
2-1 (9.5%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Beveren Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
RWDM Brussels Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
34%
Home Win & BTTS No
34%
Draw & BTTS Yes
10%
Draw & BTTS No
10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Away Win & BTTS No
7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
27%
Home Win & Under 2.5
40%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
12%
Away Win & Over 2.5
5%
Away Win & Under 2.5
8%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ CPL (23.08.25): RWDM Brussels0
Beveren2
⚽ CPL (14.03.25): Beveren0
RWDM Brussels2
⚽ CPL (23.11.24): RWDM Brussels0
Beveren2
⚽ CPL (16.04.23): RWDM Brussels1
Beveren1
⚽ CPL (04.03.23): Beveren2
RWDM Brussels1
Recent Form
Beveren
⚽ CPL (08.03.26): Sporting Lokeren1
Beveren2
⚽ CPL (28.02.26): Beveren2
OC Charleroi0
⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Patro Eisden1
Beveren4
⚽ CPL (15.02.26): Francs Borains0
Beveren2
⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Beveren2
Lommel SK0
RWDM Brussels
⚽ CPL (07.03.26): OC Charleroi0
RWDM Brussels2
⚽ CPL (01.03.26): RWDM Brussels2
Eupen2
⚽ CPL (22.02.26): Beerschot VA1
RWDM Brussels1
⚽ CPL (14.02.26): RWDM Brussels1
Sporting Lokeren2
⚽ CPL (08.02.26): Francs Borains0
RWDM Brussels0
Match Analysis
Writeup
Beveren is absolutely flying in the Belgian Challenger Pro League. They sit 1st with 72 points and have already secured promotion. They play with a freedom that makes them dangerous, especially with Mertens in top form. RWDM Brussels is at the opposite end of the spectrum, sitting 11th and recently hit with a 3-point federation penalty. RWDM has struggled for wins, managing only one in their last five. Beveren’s defense has only conceded 18 goals all season—the best in the league by a distance.
Prediction: Beveren Win
-
Must Win: While already promoted, Beveren wants the league title trophy and to maintain their 100% winning momentum.
-
Form Watcher: Beveren has 5 wins from their last 5 games; RWDM is winless in 4 of their last 5.
-
H2H: Beveren has won the last three meetings between these two, all with 2-0 scorelines.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beveren vs RWDM Brussels?
Our selection is 1 — Beveren to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Beveren's current form?
Beveren have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has RWDM Brussels been performing recently?
RWDM Brussels have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beveren lead with 3 wins versus RWDM Brussels's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.