WON

Result: Young Boys 1-2 Thun

Young Boys

Q: What is the recommended bet for Young Boys vs Thun?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 92%.

Home Side

W W L W L

4W 0D 1L

1-2

Swiss Super League

Thun

Away Side

D W W W W

4W 1D 0L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Sunday, 8th March 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 92%

Implied Prob 72.5%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.38

Over 2.5 Goals90% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+19.5%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

70.9%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Young Boys

Draws

Thun

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

4.4

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Young Boys

Metric

Thun

Goals For / Game

2.6

Goals Against / Game

0.8

20%

Clean Sheet %

40%

4-0-1

W — D — L

4-1-0

Win Rate Comparison

80%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 4.5%

0-2 4.0%

0-3 2.4%

0-4 1.1%

0-5 0.4%

1-0 4.7%

1-1 8.5%

1-2 7.6%

1-3 4.6%

1-4 2.1%

1-5 0.7%

2-0 4.5%

2-1 8.0%

2-2 7.2%

2-3 4.3%

2-4 2.0%

2-5 0.7%

3-0 2.8%

3-1 5.1%

3-2 4.6%

3-3 2.8%

3-4 1.2%

3-5 0.5%

4-0 1.3%

4-1 2.4%

4-2 2.2%

4-3 1.3%

4-4 0.6%

4-5 0.2%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.8%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (8.5%) 2-1 (8.0%) 1-2 (7.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Y=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Young Boys

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Thun

Overall

8.6 —

Scoring

8.7 —

Defence

7.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 2%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%

Away Win & BTTS No 14%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 42%

Home Win & Under 2.5 5%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 1%

Away Win & Over 2.5 42%

Away Win & Under 2.5 5%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

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Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ SL (Jan 25, 2026): Thun4

Young Boys1

⚽ SL (Sep 28, 2025): Young Boys4

Thun2

⚽ CF (Jun 28, 2024): Young Boys0

Thun2

⚽ CF (Jul 15, 2023): Young Boys4

Thun0

⚽ CUP (Feb 28, 2023): Thun0

Young Boys5

Recent Form

Young Boys

⚽ SL (Mar 4, 2026): Luzern1

Young Boys2

⚽ SL (Mar 1, 2026): Young Boys3

Zurich0

⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): Sion1

Young Boys3

⚽ SL (Feb 14, 2026): Young Boys6

Winterthur1

⚽ SL (Feb 11, 2026): St. Gallen2

Young Boys1

Thun

⚽ SL (Mar 5, 2026): Thun2

St. Gallen2

⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): Thun2

Luzern1

⚽ SL (Feb 25, 2026): Winterthur0

Thun3

⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Thun1

Sion0

⚽ SL (Feb 12, 2026): Thun5

Lausanne1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, Young Boys host Thun in Swiss Super League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Young Boys arrive in strong form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Thun are travelling well, with a record of 4W 1D 0L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Young Boys, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Thun's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

This is a shocking season for Swiss fans. FC Thun, usually the underdog, is currently top of the league, while the perennial champions Young Boys are languishing in 6th. Thun has won five games in a row and is playing with immense confidence.

Young Boys have lost 4 of their last 5 games, a crisis by their standards. While YB has a great historical home record against Thun, the “Form Watcher” suggests the tide has turned. Thun is clinical, whereas YB is struggling with defensive lapses. However, YB at home is always dangerous, and they will view this as the “must-win” of the season to save their reputation.

Form Watcher: Thun (W-W-W); Young Boys (L-L-L).
H2H: YB won the last two at home, but Thun won the most recent meeting 1-0.
Prediction: Over 2.5.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Young Boys vs Thun?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 92%.

What is Young Boys's current form?

Young Boys have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Thun been performing recently?

Thun have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Young Boys lead with 3 wins versus Thun's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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