WON

Result: CSKA Sofia 2-0 Lok Sofia

CSKA Sofia

Home Side

W L W W W

2W 0D 3L

2-0

Bulgaria EFBET League

Lok Sofia

Away Side

W L D L W

2W 1D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing CSKA Sofia to win — Sunday, 8th March 2026

Best Odds 1.45

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 69%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

CSKA Sofia

Draws

Lok Sofia

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

40%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick CSKA Sofia won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

CSKA Sofia

Metric

Lok Sofia

0.6

Goals For / Game

Goals Against / Game

40%

Clean Sheet %

20%

2-0-3

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.1%

0-1 9.1%

0-2 6.8%

0-3 3.4%

0-4 1.3%

0-5 0.4%

1-0 7.9%

1-1 11.9%

1-2 8.9%

1-3 4.5%

1-4 1.7%

1-5 0.5%

2-0 5.1%

2-1 7.7%

2-2 5.8%

2-3 2.9%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 2.2%

3-1 3.3%

3-2 2.5%

3-3 1.3%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.7%

4-1 1.1%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.3%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (7.9%) 2-1 (7.7%) 2-0 (5.1%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓ L=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

CSKA Sofia Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Lok Sofia Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

CSKA Sofia

Overall

4.0 —

Scoring

2.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Lok Sofia

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

6.7 —

Defence

3.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 26%

Draw & BTTS Yes 4%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Away Win & BTTS No 27%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 18%

Home Win & Under 2.5 26%

Draw & Over 2.5 4%

Draw & Under 2.5 7%

Away Win & Over 2.5 18%

Away Win & Under 2.5 27%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ CUP (Dec 13, 2025): CSKA Sofia2

Lok. Sofia1

⚽ 1L (Sep 27, 2025): Lok. Sofia1

CSKA Sofia1

⚽ 1L (Apr 2, 2025): CSKA Sofia1

Lok. Sofia0

⚽ 1L (Sep 16, 2024): Lok. Sofia0

CSKA Sofia3

⚽ 1L (Mar 30, 2024): Lok. Sofia0

CSKA Sofia1

Recent Form

CSKA Sofia

⚽ 1L (Mar 4, 2026): CSKA Sofia1

Botev Vratsa0

⚽ 1L (Feb 28, 2026): Septemvri Sofia2

CSKA Sofia0

⚽ 1L (Feb 21, 2026): CSKA Sofia1

Slavia Sofia0

⚽ 1L (Feb 14, 2026): CSKA 1948 Sofia0

CSKA Sofia2

⚽ CUP (Feb 10, 2026): CSKA Sofia2

CSKA 1948 Sofia0

Lok Sofia

⚽ 1L (Mar 5, 2026): Lok. Sofia3

Dobrudzha1

⚽ 1L (Mar 1, 2026): Levski Sofia4

Lok. Sofia3

⚽ 1L (Feb 13, 2026): Spartak Varna2

Lok. Sofia2

⚽ 1L (Feb 7, 2026): Lok. Sofia1

Ludogorets3

⚽ CF (Jan 30, 2026): Lok. Sofia1

Svoge0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 8th March 2026, CSKA Sofia host Lok Sofia in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend CSKA Sofia to win as the standout selection.

CSKA Sofia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Lok Sofia are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour CSKA Sofia, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Lok Sofia's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cska sofia to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

The Sofia derby sees a massive disparity in form. CSKA is 4th and has won four of its last five matches. They are historically dominant at the Vasil Levski National Stadium. Defensively, they are organized, and their matches against Lokomotiv are usually low-scoring, tactical affairs.

Lokomotiv Sofia is currently 9th and has been in a downward spiral, failing to win any of their recent outings. The H2H stats are telling: 80% of their recent meetings have seen under 2.5 goals. Lokomotiv will likely “park the bus” to salvage a point, but CSKA’s current momentum makes a home win the most logical outcome.

Form Watcher: CSKA (W-W-W); Lokomotiv (L-L-D).
H2H: Historically low-scoring; CSKA usually edges it.
Prediction: CSKA Sofia Win

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for CSKA Sofia vs Lok Sofia?

Our selection is 1 — CSKA Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is CSKA Sofia's current form?

CSKA Sofia have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

How has Lok Sofia been performing recently?

Lok Sofia have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

CSKA Sofia lead with 4 wins versus Lok Sofia's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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