LOST
Result: Treowen 0-1 Afan Lido
DirectWinPredict Wales Cymru South Treowen vs Afan Lido
T

Treowen

Home Side
W W D L D
4W 3D 3L
VS
0-1
Wales Cymru South
A
Afan Lido
Away Side
W L L W W
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Treowen to win or draw — Monday, 23rd March 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 100%
Implied Prob 84.7%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Treowen to win or draw
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+15.3%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
100%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Treowen
0
Draws
0
Afan Lido
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Treowen
Metric
Afan Lido
1.8
Goals For / Game
1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.9
10%
Clean Sheet %
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
T0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
T1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
T2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
T3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.8%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
T4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.4%) 1-0 (7.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Treowen
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.3
Afan Lido
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
09.08.25
CS: Afan Lido0
Treowen Stars4
Recent Form
Treowen
20.03.26
CS: NEW2
Treowen Stars3
W
17.03.26
CS: Treowen Stars4
BAG1
W
14.03.26
CS: Treowen Stars2
PON2
D
10.03.26
CS: CAE3
Treowen Stars0
L
07.03.26
CS: Treowen Stars2
CAM2
D
03.03.26
CS: LLA3
Treowen Stars2
L
28.02.26
CS: YNY1
Treowen Stars1
D
21.02.26
CS: Treowen Stars1
CAD0
W
14.02.26
CS: ABE2
Treowen Stars1
L
02.01.26
CS: CWM1
Treowen Stars2
W
Afan Lido
20.03.26
CS: Afan Lido4
Llantwit Major1
W
13.03.26
CS: Afan Lido0
Cambrian United4
L
07.03.26
CS: Caerau Ely4
Afan Lido1
L
01.03.26
CS: Afan Lido3
Ammanford1
W
20.02.26
CS: Afan Lido1
Trethomas Bluebirds0
W
13.02.26
CS: Afan Lido0
Newport City1
L
30.01.26
CS: Pontypridd2
Afan Lido0
L
23.01.26
CS: Afan Lido0
Carmarthen Town1
L
30.12.25
CS: Afan Lido0
Trefelin2
L
26.12.25
CS: Baglan Dragons3
Afan Lido1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Wales Cymru South game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Treowen vs Afan Lido?
Our selection is 1X — Treowen to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 100%.
What is Treowen's current form?
Treowen have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Afan Lido been performing recently?
Afan Lido have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Treowen lead with 1 wins versus Afan Lido's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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