WON

Result: East Bengal 7-0 Mohammedan

East Bengal

Home Side

D D L W W

3W 4D 3L

7-0

India ISL

Mohammedan

Away Side

2W 1D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing East Bengal to win — Monday, 23rd March 2026

Best Odds 1.18

Confidence 41%

Implied Prob 84.7%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — East Bengal to win

1.18

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

84.7%

Based on 1.18 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-43.7%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

East Bengal

Draws

Mohammedan

Meetings

90%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

3.3

Avg Goals

Against Pick East Bengal won 4 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

East Bengal

Metric

Mohammedan

1.5

Goals For / Game

1.2

1.1

Goals Against / Game

30%

Clean Sheet %

10%

3-4-3

W — D — L

2-1-7

Win Rate Comparison

30%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 6.3%

0-2 3.6%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.6%

1-1 11.1%

1-2 6.4%

1-3 2.4%

1-4 0.7%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 8.4%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 5.6%

2-3 2.1%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 5.7%

3-2 3.3%

3-3 1.3%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 1.4%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.7%) 1-0 (9.6%) 2-0 (8.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · E=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

East Bengal Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Mohammedan Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

East Bengal

Overall

4.2 —

Scoring

5.0 —

Defence

6.3 —

Mohammedan

Overall

2.3 ▲

Scoring

4.0 ▲

Defence

3.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 15%

Draw & BTTS No 18%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 20%

Draw & Under 2.5 13%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 11%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

16.02.25

ISL: Mohammedan1

East Bengal3

09.11.24

ISL: East Bengal0

Mohammedan0

20.09.24

CPD: Mohammedan2

East Bengal2

01.11.22

CPD: East Bengal1

Mohammedan1

26.09.19

CPD: East Bengal3

Mohammedan2

11.09.18

CPD: East Bengal1

Mohammedan2

16.09.17

CPD: East Bengal2

Mohammedan2

05.04.14

IL: Mohammedan1

East Bengal3

11.03.14

IL: East Bengal2

Mohammedan1

28.02.09

IL: East Bengal2

Mohammedan2

Recent Form

East Bengal

14.03.26

ISL: East Bengal1

Kerala Blasters1

05.03.26

ISL: East Bengal0

Goa0

27.02.26

ISL: East Bengal1

Jamshedpur2

21.02.26

ISL: East Bengal4

SC Delhi1

16.02.26

ISL: East Bengal3

North East Utd0

07.12.25

HSC: East Bengal0

Goa1

04.12.25

HSC: East Bengal3

Punjab1

31.10.25

HSC: Mohun Bagan0

East Bengal0

28.10.25

HSC: Chennaiyin0

East Bengal4

25.10.25

HSC: East Bengal2

Dempo2

Mohammedan

07.03.26

ISL: Mohammedan1

BEN2

28.02.26

ISL: MBG5

Mohammedan1

20.02.26

ISL: Mohammedan0

GOA2

15.02.26

ISL: JAM1

Mohammedan0

05.11.25

HSC: GOK3

Mohammedan0

02.11.25

HSC: Mohammedan0

PUN3

30.10.25

HSC: BEN2

Mohammedan0

13.09.25

CPD: Mohammedan6

RAI1

10.09.25

CPD: SOU0

Mohammedan3

05.09.25

CPD: UNK1

Mohammedan1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this India ISL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for East Bengal vs Mohammedan?

Our selection is 1 — East Bengal to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 41%.

What is East Bengal's current form?

East Bengal have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Mohammedan been performing recently?

Mohammedan have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

East Bengal lead with 4 wins versus Mohammedan's 1, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.

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