Result: Treaty United PP Cork City

Treaty United

Home Side

L D L W D

1W 3D 6L

Ireland Division 1

Cork City

Away Side

W D W W W

2W 3D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Cork City to win — Friday, 10th April 2026

Best Odds 1.34

Confidence 41%

Implied Prob 74.6%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Cork City to win

1.34

Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No85%

Implied Prob

74.6%

Based on 1.34 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-33.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Treaty United

Draws

Cork City

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Neutral Data Cork City won 5 of 10 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Treaty United

Metric

Cork City

0.8

Goals For / Game

0.1

1.7

Goals Against / Game

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

1-3-6

W — D — L

2-3-5

Win Rate Comparison

10%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 27.3%

0-1 24.5%

0-2 11.0%

0-3 3.3%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 10.9%

1-1 9.8%

1-2 4.4%

1-3 1.3%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 2.2%

2-1 2.0%

2-2 0.9%

2-3 0.3%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 0.3%

3-1 0.3%

3-2 0.1%

3-3 0.0%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.0%

4-1 0.0%

4-2 0.0%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (24.5%) 0-2 (11.0%) 1-2 (4.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Treaty United Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Cork City Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Treaty United

Overall

1.9 ▼

Scoring

2.7 ▼

Defence

4.3 ▼

Cork City

Overall

2.9 ▼

Scoring

0.3 ▼

Defence

10.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 3%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 8%

Draw & BTTS No 43%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%

Away Win & BTTS No 28%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 4%

Home Win & Under 2.5 13%

Draw & Over 2.5 13%

Draw & Under 2.5 38%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 25%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

13.02.26

First Division: Cork City1

Treaty United0

18.01.25

Friendly: Cork City2

Treaty United1

04.10.24

First Division: Cork City1

Treaty United1

02.08.24

First Division: Treaty United1

Cork City1

24.05.24

First Division: Cork City1

Treaty United1

22.03.24

First Division: Treaty United0

Cork City0

22.07.23

FAI Cup: Treaty United0

Cork City2

21.01.23

Friendly: Cork City3

Treaty United0

12.08.22

First Division: Cork City0

Treaty United2

27.06.22

First Division: Treaty United0

Cork City5

Recent Form

Treaty United

06.04.26

First Division: Cobh Ramblers4

Treaty United0

03.04.26

First Division: Treaty United0

Longford Town0

27.03.26

First Division: Wexford FC3

Treaty United2

20.03.26

First Division: Treaty United2

Athlone Town0

13.03.26

First Division: Finn Harps2

Treaty United2

06.03.26

First Division: Treaty United2

Kerry FC2

27.02.26

First Division: UCD Dublin1

Treaty United0

20.02.26

First Division: Treaty United0

Bray Wanderers1

13.02.26

First Division: Cork City1

Treaty United0

24.01.26

Friendly: Shamrock Rovers3

Treaty United0

Cork City

06.04.26

First Division: Cobh Ramblers4

Treaty United0

03.04.26

First Division: Treaty United0

Longford Town0

27.03.26

First Division: Wexford FC3

Treaty United2

20.03.26

First Division: Treaty United2

Athlone Town0

13.03.26

First Division: Finn Harps2

Treaty United2

06.03.26

First Division: Treaty United2

Kerry FC2

27.02.26

First Division: UCD Dublin1

Treaty United0

20.02.26

First Division: Treaty United0

Bray Wanderers1

13.02.26

First Division: Cork City1

Treaty United0

24.01.26

Friendly: Shamrock Rovers3

Treaty United0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 10th April 2026, Treaty United host Cork City in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Treaty United arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cork City are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Treaty United, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Cork City's 5, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Ireland Division 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.34 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Treaty United vs Cork City?

Our selection is 2 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 41%.

What is Treaty United's current form?

Treaty United have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.

How has Cork City been performing recently?

Cork City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Treaty United lead with 1 wins versus Cork City's 5, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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