PP
Result: Toftir PP HB Torshavn
DirectWinPredict Faroe Islands Premier League Toftir vs HB Torshavn
T

Toftir

Home Side
L W D L D
3W 2D 5L
VS
PP
Faroe Islands Premier League
H
HB Torshavn
Away Side
L W L D W
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 25th May 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 75%
Implied Prob 71.9%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%
Implied Prob
71.9%
Based on 1.39 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+3.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
10.9%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Toftir
1
Draws
7
HB Torshavn
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Toftir
Metric
HB Torshavn
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
30%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
T0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.6%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.1%
T2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
T4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
T5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (7.9%) 1-2 (7.9%) 2-1 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
1.7
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
03.10.25PL
HB Torshavn5
Toftir1
14.06.25PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn4
07.03.25PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir2
18.08.24PL
HB Torshavn1
Toftir0
28.06.24PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn0
08.04.24PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
04.11.23CUP
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
30.09.23PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir3
04.06.23PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn2
Recent Form
Toftir
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
L
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
L
HB Torshavn
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Faroe Islands Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Toftir vs HB Torshavn?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Toftir's current form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has HB Torshavn been performing recently?
HB Torshavn have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Toftir lead with 2 wins versus HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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