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Result: Sporting CP 0-1 Arsenal

Sporting CP

Q: What is the recommended bet for Sporting CP vs Arsenal?

Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 85%.

Home Side

W W W L D

7W 2D 1L

0-1

UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

Away Side

L L W W D

6W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 1.5

Backing over 1.5 goals — Tuesday, 7th April 2026

Best Odds 1.27

Confidence 85%

Implied Prob 78.7%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals

1.27

Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

78.7%

Based on 1.27 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+6.3%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

29.4%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Sporting CP

Draws

Arsenal

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

40%

Over 2.5

2.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 60% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Sporting CP

Metric

Arsenal

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.7

0.9

Goals Against / Game

50%

Clean Sheet %

30%

7-2-1

W — D — L

6-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

70%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 7.2%

0-2 4.7%

0-3 2.0%

0-4 0.7%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 8.8%

1-1 11.4%

1-2 7.4%

1-3 3.2%

1-4 1.1%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.0%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 6.0%

2-3 2.6%

2-4 0.8%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 3.8%

3-1 4.9%

3-2 3.2%

3-3 1.4%

3-4 0.5%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 1.3%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (11.4%) 2-1 (9.2%) 1-0 (8.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Sporting CP

Overall

7.6 ▲

Scoring

7.3 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

Arsenal

Overall

6.6 ▲

Scoring

5.7 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Home Win & BTTS No 24%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Away Win & BTTS No 20%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 28%

Home Win & Under 2.5 19%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 24%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

26.11.24

Champions League: Sporting CP1

Arsenal5

16.03.23

Europa League: Arsenal1

Sporting CP (Sporting won on Pens)1

09.03.23

Europa League: Sporting CP2

Arsenal2

08.11.18

Europa League: Arsenal0

Sporting CP0

25.10.18

Europa League: Sporting CP0

Arsenal1

Recent Form

Sporting CP

03.04.26

Liga Portugal: Sporting CP4

Santa Clara2

22.03.26

Liga Portugal: Alverca1

Sporting CP4

17.03.26

Champions League: Sporting CP3

Bodø/Glimt0

11.03.26

Champions League: Bodø/Glimt3

Sporting CP0

07.03.26

Liga Portugal: SC Braga2

Sporting CP2

03.03.26

Taça de Portugal: Sporting CP1

FC Porto0

27.02.26

Liga Portugal: Sporting CP3

Estoril Praia0

21.02.26

Liga Portugal: Moreirense0

Sporting CP3

15.02.26

Liga Portugal: Sporting CP1

Famalicão0

09.02.26

Liga Portugal: FC Porto1

Sporting CP1

Arsenal

04.04.26

FA Cup: Southampton2

Arsenal1

22.03.26

EFL Cup Final: Arsenal0

Manchester City2

17.03.26

Champions League: Arsenal2

Bayer Leverkusen0

14.03.26

Premier League: Arsenal2

Everton0

11.03.26

Champions League: Bayer Leverkusen1

Arsenal1

07.03.26

FA Cup: Mansfield Town1

Arsenal2

04.03.26

Premier League: Brighton0

Arsenal1

01.03.26

Premier League: Arsenal2

Chelsea1

22.02.26

Premier League: Tottenham1

Arsenal4

18.02.26

Premier League: Wolves2

Arsenal2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this UEFA Champions League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.27 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Sporting CP vs Arsenal?

Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 85%.

What is Sporting CP's current form?

Sporting CP have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Arsenal been performing recently?

Arsenal have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Sporting CP lead with 0 wins versus Arsenal's 2, with 3 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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