WON
Result: Slovakia W 0-4 Finland W
DirectWinPredict Euro Women WCQ Slovakia W vs Finland W
S

Slovakia W

Home Side
L L L D L
4W 0D 6L
VS
0-4
Euro Women WCQ
F
Finland W
Away Side
W W W L D
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Finland W to win — Friday, 5th June 2026
Best Odds 1.29
Confidence 49%
Implied Prob 77.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Finland W to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-28.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Slovakia W
2
Draws
7
Finland W
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Finland W won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Slovakia W
Metric
Finland W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
4-0-6
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
S0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
S1
1-0 6.0%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
S2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (6.8%) 0-1 (4.5%) 0-2 (3.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   F=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Slovakia W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Finland W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Slovakia W
Overall
4.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.3
Finland W
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
14.04.26WC
Finland W4
Slovakia2
05.12.23UNL
Slovakia W2
Finland2
22.09.23UNL
Finland W4
Slovakia0
10.04.23FI
Slovakia W0
Finland2
07.04.23FI
Slovakia W0
Finland1
08.04.22WC
Slovakia W1
Finland1
21.09.21WC
Finland W2
Slovakia1
11.03.20IT
Slovakia W2
Finland4
22.01.17FI
Finland W3
Slovakia0
07.04.13FI
Slovakia W3
Finland1
Recent Form
Slovakia W
18.04.26WC
Slovakia W1
Portugal W2
L
14.04.26WC
Finland W4
Slovakia W2
L
07.03.26WC
Portugal W4
Slovakia W0
L
03.03.26WC
Slovakia W3
Latvia W2
W
28.11.25FI
Slovakia W0
USA U23 W1
L
28.10.25FI
Slovakia W0
Hungary W1
L
25.10.25FI
Slovakia W1
Ukraine W2
L
03.06.25UNL
Faroe Islands W1
Slovakia W2
W
30.05.25UNL
Slovakia W11
Gibraltar W0
W
08.04.25UNL
Moldova W0
Slovakia W2
W
Finland W
18.04.26WC
Latvia W0
Finland W1
W
14.04.26WC
Finland W4
Slovakia W2
W
07.03.26WC
Finland W3
Latvia W1
W
03.03.26WC
Portugal W2
Finland W0
L
01.12.25FI
Belgium W1
Finland W1
D
27.11.25FI
Finland W1
Austria W1
D
28.10.25UNL
Denmark W2
Finland W0
L
24.10.25UNL
Finland W1
Denmark W6
L
10.07.25EUR
Finland W1
Switzerland W1
D
06.07.25EUR
Norway W2
Finland W1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Slovakia W host Finland W in Euro Women WCQ. We recommend Finland W to win as the standout selection.

Slovakia W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Finland W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Slovakia W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Finland W's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: finland w to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro Women WCQ game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slovakia W vs Finland W?
Our selection is 2 — Finland W to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Slovakia W's current form?
Slovakia W have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Finland W been performing recently?
Finland W have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slovakia W lead with 1 wins versus Finland W's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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