WON
Result: Bentleigh Greens 1-5 Hume City
DirectWinPredict Australia NPL Victoria Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City
B

Bentleigh Greens

Home Side
L D D L L
2W 3D 5L
VS
1-5
Australia NPL Victoria
H
Hume City
Away Side
D W W W W
6W 2D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
X2
Backing Hume City to win or draw — Friday, 5th June 2026
Best Odds 1.20
Confidence 0%
Implied Prob 83.3%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
X2 — Hume City to win or draw
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
83.3%
Based on 1.20 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-83.3%
Overpriced
Head to Head Record
3
Bentleigh Greens
1
Draws
5
Hume City
9
Meetings
22%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Bentleigh Greens
Metric
Hume City
1.1
Goals For / Game
2
2.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
2-3-5
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
20%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
B0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 8.4%
0-3 6.4%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.7%
B1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 7.4%
1-4 4.3%
1-5 2.0%
B2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.5%
2-5 1.1%
B3
3-0 0.8%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
B4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.7%) 0-2 (8.4%) 1-1 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Bentleigh Greens
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
Hume City
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
28.02.26VIC
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
22.07.23VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City2
22.04.23VIC
Hume City2
Bentleigh Greens3
24.06.22VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City0
26.03.22VIC
Hume City3
Bentleigh Greens4
25.06.21VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Hume City3
27.03.21VIC
Hume City2
Bentleigh Greens0
14.03.20VIC
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
21.06.19VIC
Hume City0
Bentleigh Greens2
Recent Form
Bentleigh Greens
30.05.26VIC
Avondale FC4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
22.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
George Cross0
D
15.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Heidelberg Utd2
D
08.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Melbourne City U217
L
01.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
St Albans4
L
24.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
17.04.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Preston Lions1
D
11.04.26VIC
Dandenong City3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
27.03.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong Thunder1
W
20.03.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens4
Green Gully0
W
Hume City
30.05.26VIC
Hume City1
South Melbourne1
D
23.05.26VIC
Altona Magic1
Hume City3
W
16.05.26VIC
Hume City3
Avondale FC0
W
09.05.26VIC
George Cross2
Hume City4
W
02.05.26VIC
Hume City2
Heidelberg Utd1
W
26.04.26VIC
Melbourne City U210
Hume City1
W
18.04.26VIC
Hume City0
St Albans1
L
11.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons3
Hume City2
L
28.03.26VIC
Hume City3
Preston Lions2
W
20.03.26VIC
Dandenong City1
Hume City1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 5th June 2026, Bentleigh Greens host Hume City in Australia NPL Victoria. We recommend Hume City to win or draw as the standout selection.

Bentleigh Greens arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hume City are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Bentleigh Greens, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Hume City's 5, with 1 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hume city to win or draw at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Australia NPL Victoria game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is X2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Bentleigh Greens vs Hume City?
Our selection is X2 — Hume City to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.20.
What is Bentleigh Greens's current form?
Bentleigh Greens have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hume City been performing recently?
Hume City have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bentleigh Greens lead with 3 wins versus Hume City's 5, with 1 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
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