WON
Result: Skenderbeu 1-0 Lliria Fushe-Kruje
DirectWinPredict Albania Kategoria E Pare Skenderbeu vs Lliria Fushe-Kruje
S

Skenderbeu

Home Side
D W D W W
7W 3D 0L
VS
1-0
Albania Kategoria E Pare
L
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
Away Side
D L W D D
4W 4D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Skenderbeu to win — Saturday, 4th April 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 43%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Skenderbeu to win
1.32
Under 2.5 Goals100% BTTS — No100%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-32.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Skenderbeu
5
Draws
0
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
4.4
Avg Goals
Against Pick Skenderbeu won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Skenderbeu
Metric
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
0
Goals For / Game
0
0
Goals Against / Game
0
0%
Clean Sheet %
0%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
S0
0-0 67.0%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 1.3%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 13.4%
1-1 2.7%
1-2 0.3%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 1.3%
2-1 0.3%
2-2 0.0%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.1%
3-1 0.0%
3-2 0.0%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.0%
4-1 0.0%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.4%) 2-0 (1.3%) 2-1 (0.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Skenderbeu Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Lliria Fushe-Kruje Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Skenderbeu
Overall
7.9
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
Overall
5.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 48%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.12.25
Kategoria e Parë: KF Iliria0
KF Skënderbeu2
19.11.25
Albanian Cup: KF Skënderbeu4
KF Iliria2
12.09.25
Kategoria e Parë: KF Skënderbeu2
KF Iliria0
06.11.13
Albanian Cup: KF Skënderbeu8
KF Iliria0
23.10.13
Albanian Cup: KF Iliria1
KF Skënderbeu3
Recent Form
Skenderbeu
28.03.26
KP: AF Elbasani1
Skënderbeu1
D
22.03.26
KP: KF Besa Kavajë0
Skënderbeu1
W
18.03.26
KP: Skënderbeu0
Korabi Peshkopi0
D
14.03.26
KP: Apolonia Fier0
Skënderbeu1
W
07.03.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
KF Lushnja0
W
01.03.26
KP: AF Luftëtari0
Skënderbeu3
W
21.02.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
FK Kukësi1
W
14.02.26
KP: Skënderbeu3
Apolonia Fier2
W
07.02.26
KP: Korabi Peshkopi0
Skënderbeu0
D
30.01.26
KP: Skënderbeu2
KS Kastrioti1
W
Lliria Fushe-Kruje
22.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KF Laçi1
D
18.03.26
KP: KS Pogradeci3
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
L
14.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KS Kastrioti0
W
07.03.26
KP: KS Burreli0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0
D
01.03.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
FK Kukësi1
D
22.02.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
KF Besa Kavajë0
W
15.02.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë2
KF Lushnja1
W
08.02.26
KP: KS Burreli1
Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
D
31.01.26
KP: Iliria Fushë-Krujë2
Apolonia Fier0
W
24.01.26
KP: Korabi Peshkopi2
Iliria Fushë-Krujë1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Albania Kategoria E Pare game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Skenderbeu vs Lliria Fushe-Kruje?
Our selection is 1 — Skenderbeu to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 43%.
What is Skenderbeu's current form?
Skenderbeu have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lliria Fushe-Kruje been performing recently?
Lliria Fushe-Kruje have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Skenderbeu lead with 0 wins versus Lliria Fushe-Kruje's 0, with 5 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 0 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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