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Result: Al-Merreikh 0-0 Rutsiro

Al-Merreikh

Home Side

W D W D W

4W 6D 0L

0-0

Rwanda Premier League

Rutsiro

Away Side

L L D D W

1W 4D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al-Merreikh to win — Saturday, 4th April 2026

Best Odds 1.45

Confidence 38%

Implied Prob 69%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al-Merreikh to win

1.45

Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%

Implied Prob

69%

Based on 1.45 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-31%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al-Merreikh

Draws

Rutsiro

Meetings

BTTS Rate

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Against Pick Al-Merreikh won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al-Merreikh

Metric

Rutsiro

Goals For / Game

0.9

Goals Against / Game

1.2

Clean Sheet %

40%

4-6-0

W — D — L

1-4-5

Win Rate Comparison

40%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 35.0%

0-1 15.8%

0-2 3.5%

0-3 0.5%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 21.0%

1-1 9.5%

1-2 2.1%

1-3 0.3%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 6.3%

2-1 2.8%

2-2 0.6%

2-3 0.1%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 1.3%

3-1 0.6%

3-2 0.1%

3-3 0.0%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.2%

4-1 0.1%

4-2 0.0%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.0%) 2-0 (6.3%) 2-1 (2.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ R=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al-Merreikh Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Rutsiro Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al-Merreikh

Overall

5.8 ▼

Scoring

0.0 ▼

Defence

10.0 ▼

Rutsiro

Overall

2.2 ▼

Scoring

3.0 ▼

Defence

6.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Home Win & BTTS No 30%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 38%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 10%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 13%

Draw & Under 2.5 38%

Away Win & Over 2.5 3%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

03.12.25

Rwanda Premier League: Rutsiro FC0

Al Merrikh SC1

Recent Form

Al-Merreikh

19.03.26

PL: Al Merrikh SC3

A.S. Muhanga0

16.03.26

PL: Rayon Sports0

Al Merrikh SC0

09.03.26

PL: Police F.C.0

Al Merrikh SC1

27.02.26

PL: Al Merrikh SC1

Gasogi United1

22.02.26

PL: AS Kigali0

Al Merrikh SC1

17.02.26

PL: Al-Hilal S.C.1

Al Merrikh SC2

13.02.26

PL: Musanze FC1

Al Merrikh SC1

08.02.26

PL: Marines FC1

Al Merrikh SC1

21.01.26

PL: Al Merrikh SC2

Rayon Sports2

18.01.26

PL: APR F.C.0

Al Merrikh SC0

Rutsiro

28.03.26

PL: Rutsiro FC1

Al-Hilal S.C.2

22.03.26

PL: Rutsiro FC0

S.C. Kiyovu Sports1

14.03.26

PL: Rutsiro FC0

Etincelles F.C.0

07.03.26

PL: Gasogi United0

Rutsiro FC0

28.02.26

PL: Rutsiro FC5

Marines FC3

25.02.26

PL: Rutsiro FC0

Police F.C.0

21.02.26

PL: A.S. Muhanga2

Rutsiro FC1

06.02.26

PL: Gorilla FC2

Rutsiro FC1

09.01.26

PL: AS Kigali0

Rutsiro FC0

04.01.26

PL: Rutsiro FC1

Mukura Victory Sports2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Rwanda Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.45 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al-Merreikh vs Rutsiro?

Our selection is 1 — Al-Merreikh to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 38%.

What is Al-Merreikh's current form?

Al-Merreikh have won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Rutsiro been performing recently?

Rutsiro have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al-Merreikh lead with 0 wins versus Rutsiro's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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