WON
Result: Serbia W 1-4 Denmark W
DirectWinPredict Euro WCQ Women Serbia W vs Denmark W
S

Serbia W

Home Side
L L L D L
3W 1D 6L
VS
1-4
Euro WCQ Women
D
Denmark W
Away Side
W D W D W
5W 3D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Denmark W to win — Tuesday, 9th June 2026
Best Odds 1.19
Confidence 53%
Implied Prob 84%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Denmark W to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
84%
Based on 1.19 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-31%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Serbia W
1
Draws
2
Denmark W
3
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Denmark W won 2 of 3 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Serbia W
Metric
Denmark W
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
2.2
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-1-6
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate Comparison
30%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
S0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.5%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.5%
S1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.8%
1-4 3.5%
1-5 1.4%
S2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.5%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (10.5%) 0-1 (10.2%) 1-2 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Serbia W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Denmark W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Serbia W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
Denmark W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia1
08.05.14WC
Denmark W3
Serbia1
26.10.13WC
Serbia W1
Denmark1
Recent Form
Serbia W
05.06.26WC
Italy W3
Serbia W0
L
18.04.26WC
Sweden W1
Serbia W0
L
14.04.26WC
Serbia W0
Italy W6
L
07.03.26WC
Serbia W0
Sweden W0
D
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia W1
L
02.12.25FI
Serbia W2
Czech Republic W1
W
28.11.25FI
Czech Republic W0
Serbia W1
W
27.10.25FI
Slovenia W2
Serbia W4
W
01.07.25FI
Serbia W0
Russia W3
L
27.06.25FI
Serbia W1
Iceland W3
L
Denmark W
05.06.26WC
Denmark W2
Sweden W1
W
18.04.26WC
Denmark W0
Italy W0
D
14.04.26WC
Sweden W1
Denmark W2
W
07.03.26WC
Italy W1
Denmark W1
D
03.03.26WC
Denmark W3
Serbia W1
W
01.12.25FI
Denmark W0
Norway W0
D
28.10.25UNL
Denmark W2
Finland W0
W
24.10.25UNL
Finland W1
Denmark W6
W
12.07.25EUR
Poland W3
Denmark W2
L
08.07.25EUR
Germany W2
Denmark W1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Serbia W host Denmark W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Denmark W to win as the standout selection.

Serbia W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Denmark W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Serbia W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Denmark W's 2, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: denmark w to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro WCQ Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.19 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Serbia W vs Denmark W?
Our selection is 2 — Denmark W to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Serbia W's current form?
Serbia W have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Denmark W been performing recently?
Denmark W have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Serbia W lead with 0 wins versus Denmark W's 2, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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