WON
Result: Croatia W 4-0 Bulgaria W
DirectWinPredict Euro WCQ Women Croatia W vs Bulgaria W
C

Croatia W

Home Side
W W W L W
7W 0D 3L
VS
4-0
Euro WCQ Women
B
Bulgaria W
Away Side
W L L W L
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Croatia W to win — Tuesday, 9th June 2026
Best Odds 1.22
Confidence 70%
Implied Prob 82%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Croatia W to win
1.22
Croatia W Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
82%
Based on 1.22 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-12%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
2
Croatia W
0
Draws
0
Bulgaria W
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Croatia W won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Croatia W
Metric
Bulgaria W
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-0-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 6.1%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 10.9%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.7%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.8%) 2-0 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Croatia W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Bulgaria W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Croatia W
Overall
7.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.3
Bulgaria W
Overall
2.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia1
17.06.19FI
Bulgaria W1
Croatia3
Recent Form
Croatia W
05.06.26WC
Kosovo W0
Croatia W1
W
18.04.26WC
Croatia W9
Gibraltar W0
W
14.04.26WC
Gibraltar W0
Croatia W1
W
07.03.26WC
Croatia W0
Kosovo W1
L
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
W
01.12.25FI
Malta W0
Croatia W3
W
28.11.25FI
Malta W3
Croatia W2
L
27.10.25FI
Croatia W2
Montenegro W1
W
24.10.25FI
Croatia W1
Montenegro W3
L
03.06.25UNL
Croatia W2
Ukraine W0
W
Bulgaria W
05.06.26WC
Bulgaria W3
Gibraltar W1
W
18.04.26WC
Kosovo W2
Bulgaria W1
L
14.04.26WC
Bulgaria W1
Kosovo W3
L
07.03.26WC
Gibraltar W0
Bulgaria W5
W
03.03.26WC
Bulgaria W0
Croatia W1
L
03.06.25UNL
Bulgaria W0
Estonia W1
L
08.04.25UNL
Israel W3
Bulgaria W3
D
04.04.25UNL
Estonia W0
Bulgaria W0
D
21.02.25UNL
Bulgaria W1
Israel W3
L
16.07.24EUR
Bulgaria W0
Kazakhstan W0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Croatia W host Bulgaria W in Euro WCQ Women. We recommend Croatia W to win as the standout selection.

Croatia W arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bulgaria W are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Croatia W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Bulgaria W's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: croatia w to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro WCQ Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Croatia W vs Bulgaria W?
Our selection is 1 — Croatia W to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Croatia W's current form?
Croatia W have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bulgaria W been performing recently?
Bulgaria W have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Croatia W lead with 2 wins versus Bulgaria W's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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