WON
Result: Nassaji 2-0 Shenavarsazi Qeshm
DirectWinPredict Iran Azadegan League Nassaji vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
N

Nassaji

Home Side
W W W D W
5W 3D 2L
VS
2-0
Iran Azadegan League
S
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Away Side
L L D L W
2W 4D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Nassaji to win — Tuesday, 9th June 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Nassaji to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-12.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Nassaji
0
Draws
0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Nassaji won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Nassaji
Metric
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate Comparison
50%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
N0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 10.7%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 19.0%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 4.0%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 2.3%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (19.0%) 2-0 (10.9%) 2-1 (7.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Nassaji Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Nassaji
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.7
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.0
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.11.25AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Nassaji Mazandaran3
Recent Form
Nassaji
02.06.26AL
Nassaji Mazandaran2
Damash Gilan0
W
27.05.26AL
Mes Kerman1
Nassaji Mazandaran2
W
21.05.26AL
Nassaji Mazandaran2
Navad Urmia0
W
15.05.26AL
Besat Kermanshah0
Nassaji Mazandaran0
D
22.02.26AL
Nassaji Mazandaran3
Saipa1
W
15.02.26AL
Niroye Zamini0
Nassaji Mazandaran0
D
09.02.26AL
Nassaji Mazandaran2
Shahrdari Noshahr0
W
03.02.26AL
Sanat Naft2
Nassaji Mazandaran1
L
27.01.26AL
Nassaji Mazandaran1
Pars Janoobi Jam2
L
20.01.26AL
Naft Bandar Abbas1
Nassaji Mazandaran1
D
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
02.06.26AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1
Saipa2
L
27.05.26AL
Besat Kermanshah2
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
L
21.05.26AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Niroye Zamini0
D
14.05.26AL
Navad Urmia1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
L
22.02.26AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1
Sanat Naft0
W
15.02.26AL
Naft Bandar Abbas0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
D
08.02.26AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1
Pars Janoobi Jam2
L
02.02.26AL
Mes Kerman1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm2
W
26.01.26AL
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1
Shahrdari Noshahr1
D
20.01.26AL
Fard0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Nassaji host Shenavarsazi Qeshm in Iran Azadegan League. We recommend Nassaji to win as the standout selection.

Nassaji arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nassaji, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Shenavarsazi Qeshm's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nassaji to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iran Azadegan League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nassaji vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm?
Our selection is 1 — Nassaji to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Nassaji's current form?
Nassaji have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shenavarsazi Qeshm been performing recently?
Shenavarsazi Qeshm have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nassaji lead with 1 wins versus Shenavarsazi Qeshm's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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