WON
Result: Saprissa 3-0 Zeledon
DirectWinPredict Costa Rica Primera Division Saprissa vs Zeledon
S

Saprissa

Home Side
W D W L W
7W 1D 2L
VS
3-0
Costa Rica Primera Division
Z
Zeledon
Away Side
W L L D L
1W 4D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Saprissa to win — Sunday, 5th April 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Saprissa to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-21%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
6
Saprissa
4
Draws
0
Zeledon
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Saprissa won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Saprissa
Metric
Zeledon
2.2
Goals For / Game
0
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate Comparison
70%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
S0
0-0 19.2%
0-1 10.6%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 21.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 1.8%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 0.6%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (21.1%) 2-0 (11.6%) 2-1 (6.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   Z=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Saprissa Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Zeledon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Saprissa
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.3
Zeledon
Overall
2.2
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
29.01.26
Apertura: Pérez Zeledón3
Deportivo Saprissa3
23.09.25
Apertura: Deportivo Saprissa3
Pérez Zeledón0
27.07.25
Apertura: Pérez Zeledón0
Deportivo Saprissa1
08.05.25
Clausura: Pérez Zeledón0
Deportivo Saprissa3
17.01.25
Clausura: Deportivo Saprissa0
Pérez Zeledón0
08.11.24
Apertura: Pérez Zeledón1
Deportivo Saprissa2
12.09.24
Apertura: Deportivo Saprissa2
Pérez Zeledón2
04.04.24
Clausura: Deportivo Saprissa1
Pérez Zeledón0
19.01.24
Clausura: Pérez Zeledón1
Deportivo Saprissa0
12.11.23
Apertura: Deportivo Saprissa4
Pérez Zeledón0
Recent Form
Saprissa
29.03.26
Cup: Deportivo Saprissa5
Municipal Liberia1
W
26.03.26
Cup: Municipal Liberia1
Deportivo Saprissa1
D
23.03.26
PD: AD San Carlos1
Deportivo Saprissa3
W
15.03.26
PD: CS Cartaginés2
Deportivo Saprissa1
L
09.03.26
PD: Deportivo Saprissa2
CS Herediano1
W
06.03.26
PD: Deportivo Saprissa1
Sporting FC2
L
01.03.26
PD: Guadalupe FC0
Deportivo Saprissa2
W
22.02.26
PD: Deportivo Saprissa2
LD Alajuelense1
W
15.02.26
PD: Municipal Liberia0
Deportivo Saprissa1
W
12.02.26
Cup: AD Carmelita2
Deportivo Saprissa4
W
Zeledon
22.03.26
PD: Municipal Pérez Zeledón3
CS Cartaginés1
W
14.03.26
PD: LD Alajuelense3
Municipal Pérez Zeledón0
L
10.03.26
PD: Sporting FC3
Municipal Pérez Zeledón2
L
04.03.26
PD: Municipal Pérez Zeledón1
Municipal Liberia1
D
01.03.26
PD: CS Herediano3
Municipal Pérez Zeledón0
L
22.02.26
PD: Municipal Pérez Zeledón1
Guadalupe FC1
D
14.02.26
PD: Puntarenas FC1
Municipal Pérez Zeledón0
L
08.02.26
PD: CS Cartaginés1
Municipal Pérez Zeledón0
L
29.01.26
PD: Municipal Pérez Zeledón3
Deportivo Saprissa3
D
27.01.26
PD: Municipal Pérez Zeledón0
Sporting FC0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Costa Rica Primera Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Saprissa vs Zeledon?
Our selection is 1 — Saprissa to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Saprissa's current form?
Saprissa have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zeledon been performing recently?
Zeledon have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Saprissa lead with 6 wins versus Zeledon's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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