WON
Result: Urartu 4-2 Gandzasar
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Urartu vs Gandzasar
U

Urartu

Home Side
L W W D W
4W 2D 4L
VS
4-2
Armenia Premier League
G
Gandzasar
Away Side
W W D D D
3W 5D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Urartu to win — Sunday, 5th April 2026
Best Odds 1.51
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 66.2%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
5
Urartu
1
Draws
0
Gandzasar
6
Meetings
33%
BTTS Rate
67%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Urartu won 5 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Urartu
Metric
Gandzasar
2
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheet %
50%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
U0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
U1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.5%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
U2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
U3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.5%) 2-1 (8.4%) 2-0 (6.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · U=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Urartu Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Gandzasar Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Urartu
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.3
Gandzasar
Overall
4.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
06.03.26
Premier League: FC Gandzasar2
FC Urartu2
09.08.25
Premier League: FC Urartu1
FC Gandzasar0
15.03.25
Premier League: FC Urartu2
FC Gandzasar1
28.11.24
Premier League: FC Gandzasar0
FC Urartu4
31.08.24
Premier League: FC Urartu2
FC Gandzasar0
06.04.23
Armenian Cup: FC Urartu4
FC Gandzasar0
Recent Form
Urartu
01.04.26
Cup: FC Urartu2
FC Ararat Yerevan3
L
20.03.26
PL: BKMA Yerevan0
FC Urartu1
W
15.03.26
PL: FC Urartu4
BKMA Yerevan1
W
06.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
FC Urartu2
D
03.03.26
Cup: FC Ararat Yerevan0
FC Urartu3
W
12.02.26
Friendly: Yelimay Semey3
FC Urartu1
L
08.02.26
Friendly: Lokomotiv Moscow3
FC Urartu2
L
30.01.26
Friendly: Uzbekistan4
FC Urartu2
L
29.11.25
PL: FC Alashkert0
FC Urartu2
W
21.11.25
PL: FC Urartu1
FC Pyunik1
D
Gandzasar
21.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
Ararat Yerevan1
W
14.03.26
PL: Ararat Yerevan0
Gandzasar FC2
W
06.03.26
PL: Gandzasar FC2
FC Urartu2
D
25.02.26
Friendly: Sardarapat0
Gandzasar FC0
D
14.02.26
Friendly: FC Van0
Gandzasar FC0
D
07.02.26
Friendly: Gandzasar FC1
Ararat Yerevan1
D
28.11.25
PL: Gandzasar FC0
BKMA Yerevan0
D
22.11.25
PL: Shirak Gyumri1
Gandzasar FC0
L
09.11.25
PL: FC Van2
Gandzasar FC1
L
03.11.25
PL: Gandzasar FC1
Alashkert0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Urartu host Gandzasar in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Urartu to win as the standout selection.

Urartu arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gandzasar are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Urartu, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Gandzasar's 0, with 1 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: urartu to win at odds of 1.51 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.51 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Urartu vs Gandzasar?
Our selection is 1 — Urartu to win, priced at approximately 1.51. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Urartu's current form?
Urartu have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gandzasar been performing recently?
Gandzasar have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Urartu lead with 5 wins versus Gandzasar's 0, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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