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Result: Arsenal W 0-2 Brighton W

Arsenal W

Home Side

L W W W W

9W 0D 1L

0-2

England Women FA Cup

Brighton W

Away Side

W D L W L

4W 1D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Arsenal W to win — Sunday, 5th April 2026

Best Odds 1.21

Confidence 78%

Implied Prob 82.6%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Arsenal W to win

1.21

Over 2.5 Goals65%

Implied Prob

82.6%

Based on 1.21 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-4.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Arsenal W

Draws

Brighton W

Meetings

10%

BTTS Rate

90%

Over 2.5

3.6

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Arsenal W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Arsenal W

Metric

Brighton W

2.9

Goals For / Game

1.1

0.7

Goals Against / Game

1.3

50%

Clean Sheet %

40%

9-0-1

W — D — L

4-1-5

Win Rate Comparison

90%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.0%

0-1 4.5%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 10.5%

1-1 9.4%

1-2 4.2%

1-3 1.3%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 11.0%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 1.3%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 7.7%

3-1 6.9%

3-2 3.1%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.0%

4-1 3.6%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.7%

5-1 1.5%

5-2 0.7%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (11.0%) 1-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Arsenal W Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Brighton W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Arsenal W

Overall

9.0 ▲

Scoring

9.7 ▲

Defence

7.7 ▲

Brighton W

Overall

4.3 —

Scoring

3.7 —

Defence

5.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%

Home Win & BTTS No 37%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 2%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 16%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 44%

Home Win & Under 2.5 23%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 1%

Away Win & Over 2.5 19%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

12.10.25

WSL: Arsenal1

Brighton0

05.05.25

WSL: Brighton0

Arsenal4

22.01.25

Cup: Brighton0

Arsenal4

08.11.24

WSL: Arsenal5

Brighton0

18.05.24

WSL: Arsenal5

Brighton0

19.11.23

WSL: Brighton0

Arsenal3

10.05.23

WSL: Brighton0

Arsenal4

16.09.22

WSL: Arsenal4

Brighton0

13.03.22

WSL: Brighton0

Arsenal3

27.01.22

WSL: Arsenal2

Brighton1

Recent Form

Arsenal W

01.04.26

UWCL: Chelsea W1

Arsenal W - L (Adv. 3-2 on Agg)0

28.03.26

WSL: Arsenal W5

Tottenham W2

24.03.26

UWCL: Arsenal W3

Chelsea W1

21.03.26

WSL: Arsenal W5

West Ham W0

15.03.26

WSL: London City Lionesses0

Arsenal W2

22.02.26

FA Cup: Arsenal W3

Bristol City W0

18.02.26

UWCL: Arsenal W3

OH Leuven1

11.02.26

UWCL: OH Leuven0

Arsenal W4

08.02.26

WSL: Arsenal W1

Manchester City W0

01.02.26

WCC: Arsenal W3

Corinthians W2

Brighton W

29.03.26

WSL: Leicester City W0

Brighton W1

22.03.26

WSL: Brighton W0

Liverpool W0

18.03.26

WSL: Chelsea W2

Brighton W1

22.02.26

FA Cup: West Ham W1

Brighton W2

08.02.26

WSL: West Ham W3

Brighton W2

01.02.26

WSL: Brighton W1

London City Lionesses2

23.01.26

WSL: Everton W0

Brighton W1

18.01.26

FA Cup: Brighton W2

Nottingham Forest W0

11.01.26

WSL: Aston Villa W2

Brighton W1

14.12.25

WSL: Brighton W0

Chelsea W3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Arsenal W host Brighton W in England Women FA Cup. We recommend Arsenal W to win as the standout selection.

Arsenal W arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Brighton W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Arsenal W, who lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Brighton W's 0, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 10% of those meetings.

Our verdict: arsenal w to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this England Women FA Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Arsenal W vs Brighton W?

Our selection is 1 — Arsenal W to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 78%.

What is Arsenal W's current form?

Arsenal W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Brighton W been performing recently?

Brighton W have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Arsenal W lead with 10 wins versus Brighton W's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.

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