WON
Result: Resende 1-0 CEAC/Araruama
DirectWinPredict Brazil Carioca 2 Resende vs CEAC/Araruama
R

Resende

Home Side
D W W D D
3W 4D 3L
VS
1-0
Brazil Carioca 2
C
CEAC/Araruama
Away Side
L L W L L
1W 2D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Resende to win — Saturday, 6th June 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 40%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
1
Resende
1
Draws
1
CEAC/Araruama
3
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
2.3
Avg Goals
Against Pick Resende won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Resende
Metric
CEAC/Araruama
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheet %
11%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-2-6
Win Rate Comparison
30%
11%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
R0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
R2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.0%) 2-1 (9.3%) 2-0 (8.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · R=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Resende Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
CEAC/Araruama Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Resende
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
CEAC/Araruama
Overall
1.8
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.8
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 26%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
31.05.25CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Resende2
22.06.24CAR2
CEAC/Araruama1
Resende1
24.05.23CAR2
Resende1
CEAC/Araruama2
Recent Form
Resende
30.05.26CAR2
Olaria1
Resende1
D
27.05.26CAR2
Resende3
America RJ0
W
16.05.26CAR2
Sao Goncalo1
Resende2
W
09.05.26CAR2
Resende2
Cabofriense2
D
02.05.26CAR2
Perolas Negras1
Resende1
D
29.04.26CAR2
Resende4
Marica0
W
14.08.25CR
Portuguesa RJ0
Resende0
D
30.07.25CR
Resende2
Portuguesa RJ3
L
12.07.25CAR2
Olaria3
Resende0
L
05.07.25CAR2
Resende0
Bangu2
L
CEAC/Araruama
03.06.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Marica1
L
23.05.26CAR2
Perolas Negras3
CEAC/Araruama1
L
16.05.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama2
Americano1
W
09.05.26CAR2
Audax RJ3
CEAC/Araruama2
L
02.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso2
CEAC/Araruama1
L
29.04.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama1
Serrano FC2
L
06.09.25CR
America RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
L
03.09.25CR
CEAC/Araruama0
America RJ0
D
23.08.25CR
CEAC/Araruama1
Nova Iguacu1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, Resende host CEAC/Araruama in Brazil Carioca 2. We recommend Resende to win as the standout selection.

Resende arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

CEAC/Araruama are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 6L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Resende, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to CEAC/Araruama's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: resende to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Brazil Carioca 2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Resende vs CEAC/Araruama?
Our selection is 1 — Resende to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 40%.
What is Resende's current form?
Resende have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has CEAC/Araruama been performing recently?
CEAC/Araruama have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Resende lead with 1 wins versus CEAC/Araruama's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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