WON
Result: Lipetsk 3-1 Arsenal Tula 2
DirectWinPredict Russia FNL 2 - Div B Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2
L

Lipetsk

Home Side
D W D W L
5W 3D 2L
VS
3-1
Russia FNL 2 - Div B
A
Arsenal Tula 2
Away Side
D L L W W
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Lipetsk to win — Saturday, 6th June 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 55%
Implied Prob 70.4%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Lipetsk to win
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
70.4%
Based on 1.42 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-15.4%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
Lipetsk
2
Draws
1
Arsenal Tula 2
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Lipetsk won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Lipetsk
Metric
Arsenal Tula 2
2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
10%
5-3-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (9.7%) 2-0 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Lipetsk Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Arsenal Tula 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Lipetsk
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.3
Arsenal Tula 2
Overall
2.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
24.08.25FNL2B
Lipetsk1
Arsenal Tula 20
04.05.25FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk2
15.10.22FNL2
Lipetsk1
Arsenal Tula 20
15.08.22FNL2
Arsenal Tula 22
Lipetsk1
21.05.17FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 22
02.09.16FNL2
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk3
08.11.15FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 21
17.08.15FNL2
Arsenal Tula 20
Lipetsk0
29.10.14FNL2
Arsenal Tula 21
Lipetsk5
02.08.14FNL2
Lipetsk2
Arsenal Tula 21
Recent Form
Lipetsk
30.05.26FNL2B
FK Strogino Moscow2
Lipetsk2
D
23.05.26FNL2B
Lipetsk4
SKA Khabarovsk 20
W
20.05.26FNL2B
Kursk1
Lipetsk1
D
16.05.26FNL2B
FK Shumbrat Saransk2
Lipetsk5
W
08.05.26FNL2B
Lipetsk0
Spartak Tambov1
L
25.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya1
W
18.04.26FNL2B
Ryazan2
Lipetsk1
L
11.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
R. Volgograd 21
W
05.04.26FNL2B
Lipetsk2
Kvant0
W
28.03.26FNL2B
Lipetsk1
Salyut-Belgorod1
D
Arsenal Tula 2
31.05.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Penza1
D
24.05.26FNL2B
Saturn Ramenskoye2
Arsenal Tula 21
L
16.05.26FNL2B
FK Strogino Moscow2
Arsenal Tula 20
L
10.05.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 25
SKA Khabarovsk 24
W
02.05.26FNL2B
FK Shumbrat Saransk2
Arsenal Tula 23
W
26.04.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 21
Spartak Tambov1
D
18.04.26FNL2B
Kursk1
Arsenal Tula 20
L
12.04.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 20
Volna Nizhegorodskaya3
L
03.04.26FNL2B
Ryazan0
Arsenal Tula 20
D
28.03.26FNL2B
Arsenal Tula 20
R. Volgograd 21
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, Lipetsk host Arsenal Tula 2 in Russia FNL 2 - Div B. We recommend Lipetsk to win as the standout selection.

Lipetsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Arsenal Tula 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lipetsk, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Arsenal Tula 2's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: lipetsk to win at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Russia FNL 2 – Div B game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.42 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula 2?
Our selection is 1 — Lipetsk to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Lipetsk's current form?
Lipetsk have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal Tula 2 been performing recently?
Arsenal Tula 2 have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lipetsk lead with 7 wins versus Arsenal Tula 2's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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