WON
Result: Primorje 0-4 Celje
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Slovenia PRVA Ligaโ€บ Primorje vs Celje
P

Primorje

Home Side
D L L L L
1W 1D 8L
VS
0-4
Slovenia PRVA Liga
C
Celje
Away Side
L L W W W
8W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Celje to win โ€” Friday, 22nd May 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
โšก Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 โ€” Celje to win
1.41
Over 1.5 Goals85% Celje Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-6.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
โš” Head to Head Record
2
Primorje
1
Draws
7
Celje
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Celje won 7 of 10 meetings.
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Primorje
Metric
Celje
0.7
Goals For / Game
2.4
2.4
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
60%
1-1-8
W โ€” D โ€” L
8-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
10%
80%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
P0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 13.0%
0-3 10.4%
0-4 6.2%
0-5 3.0%
P1
1-0 3.2%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 9.1%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.4%
1-5 2.1%
P2
2-0 1.1%
2-1 2.7%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.7%
P3
3-0 0.3%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-2 (13.0%) 0-1 (10.8%) 0-3 (10.4%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท P=Home goals โ†“   C=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“‰ Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Primorje Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Celje Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Primorje
Overall
1.3 โ–ฒ
Scoring
2.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
2.0 โ–ฒ
Celje
Overall
8.0 โ–ฒ
Scoring
8.0 โ–ฒ
Defence
7.7 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 7%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 5%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 46%
Away Win & Under 2.5 38%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
07.12.25PL
Celje4
Primorje1
21.09.25PL
Primorje2
Celje3
04.05.25PL
Primorje0
Celje5
09.03.25PL
Celje2
Primorje2
10.11.24PL
Primorje1
Celje3
25.08.24PL
Celje0
Primorje3
29.05.11PL
Celje2
Primorje3
09.04.11PL
Primorje0
Celje1
20.11.10PL
Celje3
Primorje0
Recent Form
Primorje
16.05.26PL
Aluminij0
Primorje0
D
10.05.26PL
Primorje0
Mura2
L
02.05.26PL
O. Ljubljana3
Primorje0
L
26.04.26PL
Primorje2
Radomlje3
L
18.04.26PL
Maribor2
Primorje0
L
15.04.26PL
Bravo2
Primorje1
L
10.04.26PL
Primorje0
Koper4
L
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
L
15.03.26PL
Primorje2
Aluminij0
W
07.03.26PL
Mura3
Primorje1
L
Celje
16.05.26PL
Celje1
Koper2
L
02.05.26PL
Celje2
Bravo3
L
26.04.26PL
Celje5
Aluminij0
W
19.04.26PL
Mura0
Celje2
W
15.04.26PL
Celje2
O. Ljubljana0
W
11.04.26PL
Radomlje1
Celje3
W
04.04.26PL
Celje1
Maribor0
W
22.03.26PL
Celje5
Primorje1
W
19.03.26UECL
AEK Athens0
Celje2
W
15.03.26PL
Koper0
Celje1
W
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Slovenia PRVA Liga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Primorje vs Celje?
Our selection is 2 โ€” Celje to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Primorje's current form?
Primorje have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches.
How has Celje been performing recently?
Celje have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Primorje lead with 2 wins versus Celje's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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