WON

Result: Hadjuk Split 6-3 Vukovar

Hadjuk Split

Home Side

D L W D L

5W 3D 2L

6-3

Croatia HNL

Vukovar

Away Side

L L W D L

2W 2D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Hadjuk Split to win — Friday, 22nd May 2026

Best Odds 1.20

Confidence 63%

Implied Prob 83.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Hadjuk Split to win

1.20

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

83.3%

Based on 1.20 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-20.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Hadjuk Split

Draws

Vukovar

Meetings

17%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Hadjuk Split won 6 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Hadjuk Split

Metric

Vukovar

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.8

0.9

Goals Against / Game

2.3

30%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-3-2

W — D — L

2-2-6

Win Rate Comparison

50%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.5%

0-1 4.7%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.6%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 11.3%

1-1 9.6%

1-2 4.1%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 4.2%

2-3 1.2%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 7.9%

3-1 6.7%

3-2 2.9%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.1%

4-1 3.4%

4-2 1.5%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.7%

5-1 1.4%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (11.6%) 1-0 (11.3%) 2-1 (9.8%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓ V=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Hadjuk Split Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Vukovar Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Hadjuk Split

Overall

5.9 ▲

Scoring

6.0 ▲

Defence

7.0 ▲

Vukovar

Overall

2.6 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

2.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%

Home Win & BTTS No 27%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Away Win & BTTS No 11%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 29%

Home Win & Under 2.5 24%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

21.03.26HNL

Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split6

21.12.25HNL

Hajduk Split2

Vukovar 19911

04.10.25HNL

Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split1

31.03.00HNL

Hajduk Split4

Vukovar 19910

04.12.99HNL

Hajduk Split2

Vukovar 19910

10.09.99HNL

Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split2

Recent Form

Hadjuk Split

16.05.26HNL

Lok. Zagreb1

Hajduk Split1

09.05.26HNL

Din. Zagreb2

Hajduk Split0

03.05.26HNL

Hajduk Split3

Varazdin1

26.04.26HNL

Rijeka0

Hajduk Split0

21.04.26HNL

Hajduk Split0

Osijek1

17.04.26HNL

Slaven Belupo2

Hajduk Split2

12.04.26HNL

Hajduk Split1

Gorica0

07.04.26HNL

Istra 19611

Hajduk Split3

21.03.26HNL

Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split6

15.03.26HNL

Hajduk Split2

Lok. Zagreb1

Vukovar

15.05.26HNL

Vukovar 19910

Varazdin2

08.05.26HNL

Rijeka3

Vukovar 19910

02.05.26HNL

Vukovar 19911

Osijek0

25.04.26HNL

Slaven Belupo2

Vukovar 19912

22.04.26HNL

Vukovar 19911

Gorica2

18.04.26HNL

Istra 19611

Vukovar 19912

13.04.26HNL

Vukovar 19911

Din. Zagreb4

07.04.26HNL

Vukovar 19911

Lok. Zagreb1

21.03.26HNL

Vukovar 19910

Hajduk Split6

13.03.26HNL

Varazdin2

Vukovar 19910

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Croatia HNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Hadjuk Split vs Vukovar?

Our selection is 1 — Hadjuk Split to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 63%.

What is Hadjuk Split's current form?

Hadjuk Split have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Vukovar been performing recently?

Vukovar have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Hadjuk Split lead with 6 wins versus Vukovar's 0, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.

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