PENDING
Result: 2 — Hammarby W to win
DirectWinPredict Sweden Allsvenkan Women Pitea W vs Hammarby W
P

Pitea W

Home Side
L L W L L
4W 1D 5L
VS
5:00 pm
Sweden Allsvenkan Women
H
Hammarby W
Away Side
W L W W W
8W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Hammarby W to win — Thursday, 25th June 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 64%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
1
Pitea W
2
Draws
7
Hammarby W
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Hammarby W won 7 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Pitea W
Metric
Hammarby W
1.1
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
50%
4-1-5
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
40%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
P0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 13.4%
0-2 10.4%
0-3 5.4%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
P1
1-0 7.8%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 4.8%
1-4 1.9%
1-5 0.6%
P2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 5.4%
2-2 4.2%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 1.6%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (13.4%) 0-2 (10.4%) 1-2 (9.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Pitea W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Hammarby W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Pitea W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
Hammarby W
Overall
8.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
16.08.25ALL
Pitea W0
Hammarby5
17.05.25ALL
Hammarby W2
Pitea1
16.03.25CUP
Hammarby W3
Pitea1
09.11.24ALL
Hammarby W2
Pitea0
13.05.24ALL
Pitea W0
Hammarby1
07.07.23ALL
Hammarby W0
Pitea0
14.05.23ALL
Pitea W2
Hammarby1
19.03.23AET CUP
Hammarby W4
Pitea1
02.10.22ALL
Pitea W1
Hammarby1
17.04.22ALL
Hammarby W1
Pitea0
Recent Form
Pitea W
18.06.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W2
Pitea W0
L
13.06.26ALL
Pitea W1
IF Brommapojkarna W2
L
30.05.26ALL
Norrkoping W1
Pitea W2
W
22.05.26ALL
Pitea W0
Djurgarden W1
L
17.05.26ALL
AIK W2
Pitea W1
L
10.05.26ALL
Pitea W2
Rosengard W1
W
03.05.26ALL
Vaxjo DFF W1
Pitea W2
W
26.04.26ALL
Pitea W1
Vittsjo W0
W
05.04.26ALL
Uppsala W0
Pitea W0
D
29.03.26ALL
Pitea W2
Kristianstad W3
L
Hammarby W
17.06.26ALL
Hammarby W4
AIK W1
W
13.06.26ALL
Hammarby W0
Hacken W1
L
31.05.26ALL
Vittsjo W1
Hammarby W2
W
27.05.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W0
Hammarby W1
W
23.05.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W1
W
20.05.26ALL
Hammarby W2
Malmo FF W1
W
16.05.26AET CUP
Hammarby W1
Hacken W0
W
12.05.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Hammarby W2
W
06.05.26ALL
Hammarby W3
Uppsala W0
W
01.05.26EC
Hacken W3
Hammarby W2
L
Pitea W (Home)
13.06.26ALL
Pitea W1
IF Brommapojkarna W2
L
22.05.26ALL
Pitea W0
Djurgarden W1
L
10.05.26ALL
Pitea W2
Rosengard W1
W
26.04.26ALL
Pitea W1
Vittsjo W0
W
29.03.26ALL
Pitea W2
Kristianstad W3
L
21.03.26CF
Pitea W4
Sunnana W0
W
14.03.26CUP
Pitea W4
Umea W0
W
31.01.26CF
Pitea W0
KuPS W0
D
24.01.26CF
Pitea W2
Umea W0
W
08.11.25ALL
Pitea W0
Rosengard W1
L
Hammarby W (Away)
31.05.26ALL
Vittsjo W1
Hammarby W2
W
27.05.26ALL
Eskilstuna Utd W0
Hammarby W1
W
23.05.26ALL
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W1
W
12.05.26ALL
Djurgarden W0
Hammarby W2
W
01.05.26EC
Hacken W3
Hammarby W2
L
06.04.26ALL
IF Brommapojkarna W0
Hammarby W3
W
25.03.26EC
Sparta Prague W2
Hammarby W3
W
20.03.26CUP
Kristianstad W0
Hammarby W2
W
23.02.26CUP
Rosengard W0
Hammarby W4
W
11.02.26EC
Sporting W0
Hammarby W1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Pitea W host Hammarby W at LF Arena (Piteå) in Sweden Allsvenkan Women. We recommend Hammarby W to win as the standout selection.

Pitea W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hammarby W are travelling well, with a record of 8W 0D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Pitea W, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Hammarby W's 7, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: hammarby w to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Sweden Allsvenkan Women preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at LF Arena (Piteå), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.38, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Pitea W vs Hammarby W?
Our selection is 2 — Hammarby W to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Pitea W's current form?
Pitea W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hammarby W been performing recently?
Hammarby W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Pitea W lead with 1 wins versus Hammarby W's 7, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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