PENDING
Result: 2 — Ivory Coast to win
DirectWinPredict World Cup 2026 Curacao vs Ivory Coast
C

Curacao

Home Side
D L W L L
3W 3D 4L
VS
9:00 pm
World Cup 2026
I
Ivory Coast
Away Side
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Ivory Coast to win — Thursday, 25th June 2026
Best Odds 1.14
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 87.7%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Ivory Coast to win
1.14
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
87.7%
Based on 1.14 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-29.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Curacao
Metric
Ivory Coast
1.7
Goals For / Game
2
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheet %
50%
3-3-4
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
30%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
C0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.6%
0-2 7.4%
0-3 4.8%
0-4 2.3%
0-5 0.9%
C1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.2%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.2%
C2
2-0 3.3%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
C3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
C4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.6%) 0-1 (7.6%) 0-2 (7.4%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   I=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Curacao Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Ivory Coast Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Curacao
Overall
3.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
3.7
Ivory Coast
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Curacao
21.06.26WC
Ecuador0
Curacao0
D
14.06.26WC
Germany7
Curacao1
L
07.06.26FI
Curacao4
Aruba0
W
30.05.26FI
Scotland4
Curacao1
L
31.03.26FS
Australia5
Curacao1
L
27.03.26FS
China2
Curacao0
L
19.11.25WC
Jamaica0
Curacao0
D
14.11.25WC
Bermuda0
Curacao7
W
15.10.25WC
Curacao1
Trinidad & Tobago1
D
11.10.25WC
Curacao2
Jamaica0
W
Ivory Coast
20.06.26WC
Germany2
Ivory Coast1
L
15.06.26WC
Ivory Coast1
Ecuador0
W
09.06.26FI
Philadelphia Union II0
Ivory Coast2
W
04.06.26FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
W
31.03.26FI
Scotland0
Ivory Coast1
W
28.03.26FI
South Korea0
Ivory Coast4
W
10.01.26ACN
Egypt3
Ivory Coast2
L
06.01.26ACN
Ivory Coast3
Burkina Faso0
W
31.12.25ACN
Gabon2
Ivory Coast3
W
28.12.25ACN
Ivory Coast1
Cameroon1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Curacao host Ivory Coast at Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA) in World Cup 2026. We recommend Ivory Coast to win as the standout selection.

Curacao arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ivory Coast are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: ivory coast to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this World Cup 2026 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 2, priced at @1.14, which the numbers settle at around 20,30,50%. The whistle goes at 9:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Curacao vs Ivory Coast?
Our selection is 2 — Ivory Coast to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Curacao's current form?
Curacao have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ivory Coast been performing recently?
Ivory Coast have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
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