PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Finland Ykkonen Jazz Pori vs Tampere
J

Jazz Pori

Home Side
D D L W W
5W 1D 4L
VS
5:00 pm
Finland Ykkonen
T
Tampere
Away Side
W W W W W
7W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Thursday, 25th June 2026
Best Odds 1.16
Confidence 88%
Implied Prob 86.2%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals84% BTTS — No65% Tampere Clean Sheet89%
Implied Prob
86.2%
Based on 1.16 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+1.8%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
13%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Jazz Pori
Metric
Tampere
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
0.4
20%
Clean Sheet %
89%
5-1-4
W — D — L
7-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
50%
78%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
J0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 11.3%
0-2 11.0%
0-3 7.2%
0-4 3.5%
0-5 1.4%
J1
1-0 5.2%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.4%
1-4 3.1%
1-5 1.2%
J2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 4.6%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.6%
J3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
J4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
J5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (11.3%) 0-2 (11.0%) 1-1 (10.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · J=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Jazz Pori
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
Tampere
Overall
8.1
Scoring
8.1
Defence
8.5
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 35%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Jazz Pori
12.06.26YKK
Inter Turku2
Jazz Pori1
D
06.06.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
VJS1
D
28.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
SalPa2
L
24.05.26YKK
OLS Oulu1
Jazz Pori2
W
16.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori2
Rovaniemi1
W
09.05.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia1
Jazz Pori2
W
02.05.26YKK
TPV0
Jazz Pori2
W
25.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla2
L
20.04.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Jazz Pori2
W
11.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa5
L
Tampere
11.06.26YKK
Tampere Utd3
OLS Oulu0
W
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
W
29.05.26YKK
TPV0
Tampere Utd3
W
22.05.26YKK
Tampere Utd1
JJK Jyvaskyla0
W
16.05.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Tampere Utd6
W
09.05.26YKK
Tampere Utd0
Keski-Uusimaa0
D
02.05.26YKK
Inter Turku 20
Tampere Utd2
W
29.04.26CUP
Narpes Kraft0
Tampere Utd6
W
24.04.26YKK
Tampere Utd0
VJS4
L
Jazz Pori (Home)
06.06.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
VJS1
D
28.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
SalPa2
L
16.05.26YKK
Jazz Pori2
Rovaniemi1
W
25.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla2
L
11.04.26YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa5
L
19.10.25YKK
Jazz Pori1
Keski-Uusimaa2
L
26.09.25YKK
Jazz Pori0
EPS2
L
12.09.25YKK
Jazz Pori6
Atlantis4
W
27.08.25YKK
Jazz Pori0
JJK Jyvaskyla1
L
23.08.25YKK
Jazz Pori1
KPV Kokkola1
D
Tampere (Away)
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
W
29.05.26YKK
TPV0
Tampere Utd3
W
16.05.26YKK
KPV Kokkola0
Tampere Utd6
W
02.05.26YKK
Inter Turku 20
Tampere Utd2
W
29.04.26CUP
Narpes Kraft0
Tampere Utd6
W
15.04.26CUP
TPV0
Tampere Utd2
W
11.04.26YKK
SalPa2
Tampere Utd0
L
19.10.25YKK
JJK Jyvaskyla5
Tampere Utd0
L
28.09.25YKK
KuPS Akatemia2
Tampere Utd0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 25th June 2026, Jazz Pori host Tampere at Porin Stadion (Pori) in Finland Ykkonen. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Jazz Pori arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tampere are travelling well, with a record of 7W 1D 1L across 9 matches.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Finland Ykkonen preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Porin Stadion (Pori), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 5 wins from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.16, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Jazz Pori vs Tampere?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 88%.
What is Jazz Pori's current form?
Jazz Pori have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tampere been performing recently?
Tampere have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game.
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