WON
Result:
Pattani 0-3 Buriram
P
Pattani
Home Side
W
W
W
D
W
6W 2D 2L
VS
0-3
B
Buriram
Away Side
W
W
W
D
W
9W 1D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Buriram to win — Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Best Odds
1.16
Confidence
77%
Implied Prob
86.2%
H
20%
D
20%
A
60%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Buriram to win
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Buriram Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
86.2%
Based on 1.16 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-9.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
0
Pattani
0
Draws
1
Buriram
1
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Buriram won 1 of 1 meetings.
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Pattani
Metric
Buriram
1.9
Goals For / Game
3.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
0.2
0%
Clean Sheet %
80%
6-2-2
W — D — L
9-1-0
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
P0
0-0
3.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
9.3%
0-3
7.1%
0-4
4.1%
0-5
1.9%
P1
1-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
1-4
4.3%
1-5
2.0%
P2
2-0
1.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-3
3.9%
2-4
2.3%
2-5
1.0%
P3
3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
1.8%
3-3
1.4%
3-4
0.8%
3-5
0.4%
P4
4-0
0.2%
4-1
0.4%
4-2
0.5%
4-3
0.4%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.1%
P5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
5-3
0.1%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-2 (9.7%)
0-2 (9.3%)
0-1 (8.1%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓ B=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Pattani Win
5
20%
Draw
5
20%
Buriram Win
1.67
60%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
18%
Draw & BTTS Yes
5%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
28%
Away Win & BTTS No
28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
22%
Home Win & Under 2.5
14%
Draw & Over 2.5
5%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
33%
Away Win & Under 2.5
22%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
FAC: Buriram4
Pattani0
Recent Form
Pattani
T2: Pattani2
Mahasarakham1
T2: Pattani3
Phrae1
T2: Chiangmai Utd2
Pattani4
T2: Pattani1
Bangkok FC1
T2: Pattani2
Nong Bua Pitchaya1
T2: Pattani1
Rasisalai Utd1
T2: Kasetsart1
Pattani3
T2: Pattani0
Nakhon Pathom1
T2: Pattaya United2
Pattani0
T2: Pattani3
Khonkaen Utd.1
Buriram
T1: Buriram5
Chonburi0
CL: Buriram1
Melbourne City0
T1: Nakhon Ratchasima FC0
Buriram3
CL: Melbourne City1
Buriram1
FAC: Buriram6
Khonkaen Utd.0
T1: Buriram6
Sukhothai0
CL: Buriram2
Shanghai Shenhua0
T1: Pathum United1
Buriram3
CL: Chengdu Rongcheng0
Buriram1
ASE: Buriram6
Cebu FC0
Match Analysis
Writeup
On Wednesday, 18th March 2026, Pattani host Buriram in Thailand Cup. We recommend Buriram to win as the standout selection.
Pattani arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.
Buriram are travelling well, with a record of 9W 1D 0L across 10 matches.
Historical meetings favour Pattani, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Buriram's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.
Our verdict: buriram to win at odds of 1.16 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Pattani vs Buriram?
Our selection is 2 — Buriram to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Pattani's current form?
Pattani have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Buriram been performing recently?
Buriram have recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Pattani lead with 0 wins versus Buriram's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.