WON
Result:
Kitchee 1-0 Kowloon City
K
Kitchee
Home Side
W
D
W
W
W
9W 1D 0L
VS
1-0
K
Kowloon City
Away Side
L
W
L
L
L
3W 0D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kitchee to win — Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Best Odds
1.15
Confidence
74%
Implied Prob
87%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Kitchee to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
87%
Based on 1.15 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-13%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
4
Kitchee
0
Draws
1
Kowloon City
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
5.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Kitchee won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Kitchee
Metric
Kowloon City
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2.5
50%
Clean Sheet %
10%
9-1-0
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
K0
0-0
3.0%
0-1
2.9%
0-2
1.4%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
K1
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
1-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
K2
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
K3
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
K4
4-0
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
4-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
4-5
0.0%
K5
5-0
2.7%
5-1
2.6%
5-2
1.2%
5-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
2-0 (9.8%)
2-1 (9.3%)
3-0 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓ K=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kitchee Win
1.67
60%
Draw
5
20%
Kowloon City Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
36%
Home Win & BTTS No
36%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
12%
Away Win & BTTS No
12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
54%
Home Win & Under 2.5
18%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
1%
Away Win & Over 2.5
18%
Away Win & Under 2.5
6%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
DIV: Kitchee2
Kowloon City3
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
DIV: Kitchee6
Kowloon City1
Recent Form
Kitchee
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
FAC: Tai Po1
Kitchee (6-5 pens)1
DIV: Kitchee5
Hong Kong FC2
DIV: Kitchee1
Lee Man Warriors0
DIV: Kitchee3
Southern District0
DIV: Kitchee4
Tai Po2
DIV: Hong Kong Rangers0
Kitchee3
DIV: Hong Kong FC1
Kitchee2
DIV: North District1
Kitchee2
DIV: Kitchee1
Eastern District0
Kowloon City
DIV: Kitchee4
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City5
Hong Kong Rangers1
DIV: Kowloon City1
Lee Man Warriors4
DIV: North District2
Kowloon City1
DIV: Tai Po3
Kowloon City2
FAC: Lee Man Warriors3
Kowloon City0
DIV: Hong Kong FC0
Kowloon City1
DIV: Kowloon City2
Eastern AA1
DIV: Southern District2
Kowloon City0
DIV: Kowloon City0
Kitchee5
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kitchee vs Kowloon City?
Our selection is 1 — Kitchee to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Kitchee's current form?
Kitchee have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kowloon City been performing recently?
Kowloon City have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kitchee lead with 4 wins versus Kowloon City's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.