WON
Result:
Dijon W 1-2 PSG W
D
Dijon W
Home Side
W
D
L
D
W
5W 3D 2L
VS
1-2
P
PSG W
Away Side
L
W
W
W
W
8W 0D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing PSG W to win — Wednesday, 18th March 2026
Best Odds
1.32
Confidence
68%
Implied Prob
75.8%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — PSG W to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Over 1.5 Goals80%
BTTS — No80%
PSG W Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-7.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
0
Dijon W
0
Draws
10
PSG W
10
Meetings
30%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
PSG W won 10 of 10 meetings.
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Dijon W
Metric
PSG W
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.3
50%
Clean Sheet %
70%
5-3-2
W — D — L
8-0-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
D0
0-0
6.4%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.5%
0-3
7.3%
0-4
3.5%
0-5
1.3%
D1
1-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
1-4
3.0%
1-5
1.1%
D2
2-0
2.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
D3
3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.2%
3-2
1.2%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
D4
4-0
0.1%
4-1
0.3%
4-2
0.3%
4-3
0.2%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
D5
5-0
0.0%
5-1
0.0%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
0-1 (12.2%)
0-2 (11.5%)
1-2 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓ P=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dijon W Win
5
20%
Draw
3.33
30%
PSG W Win
2
50%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
7%
Home Win & BTTS No
27%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
11%
Away Win & BTTS No
45%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
22%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
36%
Away Win & Under 2.5
20%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
PL: Dijon W0
PSG4
PL: PSG W1
Dijon0
PL: Dijon W0
PSG1
PL: PSG W6
Dijon1
PL: PSG W3
Dijon0
PL: Dijon W2
PSG5
PL: Dijon W0
PSG4
COU: Dijon W0
PSG2
PL: PSG W3
Dijon1
PL: PSG W5
Dijon0
Recent Form
Dijon W
PL: Dijon W2
St Etienne W0
PL: Fleury 91 W0
Dijon W0
CLF: Dijon W0
Lyon W4
PL: Dijon W1
Nantes W1
CLF: Dijon W2
Nantes W1
PL: Strasbourg W0
Dijon W3
COU: Dijon W1
Fleury 91 W0
CLF: Dijon W4
Reims W0
PL: Montpellier W1
Dijon W1
PL: Dijon W0
PSG W4
PSG W
CLF: Lyon W1
PSG W0
PL: PSG W2
Marseille W1
PL: PSG W3
Lens W0
CLF: PSG W3
Paris FC W0
PL: Paris FC W0
PSG W3
CLF: PSG W3
Thonon Evian W0
PL: PSG W0
Lyon W1
COU: PSG W5
Montpellier W0
PL: Le Havre W0
PSG W4
PL: Dijon W0
PSG W4
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dijon W vs PSG W?
Our selection is 2 — PSG W to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Dijon W's current form?
Dijon W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has PSG W been performing recently?
PSG W have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dijon W lead with 0 wins versus PSG W's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.