PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Hungary NB 1 Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
N

Nyiregyhaza

Home Side
D W W L L
4W 3D 3L
VS
7:00 pm
Hungary NB 1
U
Ujpest
Away Side
W D D D W
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Friday, 24th July 2026
Best Odds 1.21
Confidence 89%
Implied Prob 82.6%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals95%
Implied Prob
82.6%
Based on 1.21 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+6.4%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
36.6%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
0
Nyiregyhaza
5
Draws
5
Ujpest
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Nyiregyhaza
Metric
Ujpest
1.6
Goals For / Game
2
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-3-3
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
N0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 6.3%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 1.8%
0-5 0.7%
N1
1-0 5.0%
1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 5.7%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
N2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.1%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
N3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
N4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
N5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.5%) 1-2 (9.0%) 2-1 (7.1%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   U=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Nyiregyhaza
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
Ujpest
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.04.26NBI
Ujpest7
Nyiregyhaza2
24.01.26NBI
Nyiregyhaza1
Ujpest1
26.09.25NBI
Ujpest2
Nyiregyhaza2
16.05.25NBI
Ujpest2
Nyiregyhaza2
22.02.25NBI
Nyiregyhaza0
Ujpest0
19.10.24NBI
Ujpest1
Nyiregyhaza0
08.05.15NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Ujpest4
24.10.14NBI
Ujpest3
Nyiregyhaza2
17.04.10NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Ujpest2
19.09.09NBI
Ujpest3
Nyiregyhaza1
Recent Form
Nyiregyhaza
18.07.26CF
Nyiregyhaza2
Bukovyna2
D
11.07.26CF
Mezokovesd-Zsory0
Nyiregyhaza2
W
03.07.26CF
U. Cluj0
Nyiregyhaza3
W
30.06.26CF
Nyiregyhaza0
Brno3
L
27.06.26CF
Wolfsberger AC2
Nyiregyhaza0
L
15.05.26NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Kazincbarcika2
D
02.05.26NBI
MTK Budapest1
Nyiregyhaza1
D
25.04.26NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Zalaegerszegi1
W
17.04.26NBI
Ujpest7
Nyiregyhaza2
L
11.04.26NBI
Nyiregyhaza2
Paks0
W
Ujpest
18.07.26CF
Ujpest2
Radnik Bijeljina0
W
11.07.26CF
DVTK2
Ujpest2
D
04.07.26CF
Hartberg1
Ujpest1
D
27.06.26CF
Ujpest0
U. Cluj0
D
20.06.26CF
Cegledi0
Ujpest4
W
16.05.26NBI
Debrecen2
Ujpest1
L
03.05.26NBI
Ujpest0
Ferencvaros5
L
25.04.26NBI
Puskas Academy2
Ujpest0
L
17.04.26NBI
Ujpest7
Nyiregyhaza2
W
11.04.26NBI
Kazincbarcika0
Ujpest3
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Nyiregyhaza host Ujpest at Városi Stadion (Nyíregyháza) in Hungary NB 1. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Nyiregyhaza arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ujpest are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Nyiregyhaza, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Ujpest's 5, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Hungary NB 1 preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Városi Stadion (Nyíregyháza), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.21, which the numbers settle at around 90%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 89%.
What is Nyiregyhaza's current form?
Nyiregyhaza have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ujpest been performing recently?
Ujpest have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nyiregyhaza lead with 0 wins versus Ujpest's 5, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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