PENDING
Result: 1 — Tauras Taurage to win
DirectWinPredict Lithuania 1 Lyga Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2
T

Tauras Taurage

Home Side
W W W W L
7W 1D 2L
VS
1:00 pm
Lithuania 1 Lyga
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away Side
L L D L L
2W 1D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Tauras Taurage to win — Friday, 24th July 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 73%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Tauras Taurage to win
1.30
BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-3.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Tauras Taurage
0
Draws
0
Kauno Zalgiris 2
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Tauras Taurage won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Tauras Taurage
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2.2
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate Comparison
70%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
T0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 6.2%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 16.2%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 3.4%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 13.8%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 7.8%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.2%) 2-0 (13.8%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Tauras Taurage Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Tauras Taurage
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.0
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
2.3
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 46%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
13.03.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Tauras Taurage2
31.10.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Tauras Taurage1
21.06.25IL
Tauras Taurage2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
13.10.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Tauras Taurage2
26.05.24IL
Tauras Taurage5
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Recent Form
Tauras Taurage
19.07.26IL
Tauras Taurage3
Siauliai 21
W
01.07.26IL
Siauliai 21
Tauras Taurage3
W
27.06.26IL
Transinvest 20
Tauras Taurage1
W
20.06.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Ekranas1
W
12.06.26IL
BE1 NFA1
Tauras Taurage0
L
30.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage6
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
23.05.26IL
FK Minija2
Tauras Taurage1
L
16.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Jonava0
W
08.05.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Tauras Taurage2
D
02.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Atmosfera0
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2
19.07.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Babrungas2
L
28.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BFA Vilnius1
L
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
12.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus2
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
24.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Siauliai 20
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
L
Tauras Taurage (Home)
19.07.26IL
Tauras Taurage3
Siauliai 21
W
20.06.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Ekranas1
W
30.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage6
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
16.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Jonava0
W
02.05.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Atmosfera0
W
21.04.26CUP
Tauras Taurage1
Hegelmann4
L
18.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage1
Babrungas2
L
04.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Garliava0
W
28.03.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Dainava Alytus1
W
02.02.26CF
Tauras Taurage1
Neptunas0
W
Kauno Zalgiris 2 (Away)
24.06.26IL
Babrungas0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
D
18.06.26IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
18.03.26IL
Atmosfera2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
09.11.25IL
Nevezis Kedainiai4
Kauno Zalgiris 23
L
24.10.25IL
Neptunas3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Tauras Taurage host Kauno Zalgiris 2 at N/.A in Lithuania 1 Lyga. We recommend Tauras Taurage to win as the standout selection.

Tauras Taurage arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 1D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Tauras Taurage, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Kauno Zalgiris 2's 0, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: tauras taurage to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Lithuania 1 Lyga preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/.A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.30, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 1:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Tauras Taurage to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Tauras Taurage's current form?
Tauras Taurage have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tauras Taurage lead with 5 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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