WON
Result: NSI Runavik 1-0 Toftir
DirectWinPredict Faroe Islands PL NSI Runavik vs Toftir
N

NSI Runavik

Home Side
W L W W L
6W 1D 3L
VS
1-0
7:00 pm
Faroe Islands PL
T
Toftir
Away Side
L D L L W
3W 3D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing NSI Runavik to win — Saturday, 20th June 2026
Best Odds 1.20
Confidence 63%
Implied Prob 83.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — NSI Runavik to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
Implied Prob
83.3%
Based on 1.20 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
7
NSI Runavik
0
Draws
3
Toftir
10
Meetings
90%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick NSI Runavik won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
NSI Runavik
Metric
Toftir
2.4
Goals For / Game
2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
N0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 3.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 4.7%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.9%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.6%
N2
2-0 4.9%
2-1 8.4%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
N3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.4%
N4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
N5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.4%) 3-1 (5.9%) 3-2 (5.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · N=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
NSI Runavik Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Toftir Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
NSI Runavik
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.3
Toftir
Overall
3.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
19.09.25PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik3
03.08.25PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik3
30.03.25PL
NSI Runavik11
Toftir1
26.10.24PL
NSI Runavik1
Toftir4
29.07.24PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik4
04.05.24PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
09.05.23CUP
Toftir2
NSI Runavik1
16.10.22PL
NSI Runavik2
Toftir3
26.05.22PL
Toftir0
NSI Runavik1
Recent Form
NSI Runavik
13.06.26PL
NSI Runavik3
B36 Torshavn0
W
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
L
25.05.26PL
Streymur0
NSI Runavik1
W
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
W
13.05.26CUP
Klaksvik4
NSI Runavik2
L
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
W
04.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
NSI Runavik0
L
30.04.26CUP
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
NSI Runavik4
W
26.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag3
NSI Runavik3
D
20.04.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Streymur0
W
Toftir
14.06.26PL
Streymur2
Toftir0
L
30.05.26PL
Toftir4
B36 Torshavn4
D
26.05.26PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
L
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
NSI Runavik (Home)
13.06.26PL
NSI Runavik3
B36 Torshavn0
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
W
20.04.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Streymur0
W
12.04.26PL
NSI Runavik2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
W
21.03.26PL
NSI Runavik2
AB Argir1
W
08.03.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Vikingur0
W
25.10.25PL
NSI Runavik2
Klaksvik4
L
03.10.25PL
NSI Runavik2
B36 Torshavn1
W
14.09.25PL
NSI Runavik3
TB Tvoroyri0
W
24.08.25PL
NSI Runavik3
FC Suduroy1
W
Toftir (Away)
14.06.26PL
Streymur2
Toftir0
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
L
07.03.26PL
AB Argir2
Toftir0
L
25.10.25PL
TB Tvoroyri1
Toftir1
D
03.10.25PL
HB Torshavn5
Toftir1
L
14.09.25PL
Streymur0
Toftir2
W
24.08.25PL
B36 Torshavn1
Toftir0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, NSI Runavik host Toftir at Við Løkin (Runavík) in Faroe Islands PL. We recommend NSI Runavik to win as the standout selection.

NSI Runavik arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Toftir are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour NSI Runavik, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Toftir's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: nsi runavik to win at odds of 1.20 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If there’s one habit that separates consistently profitable sports bettors from everyone else, it’s this: they update their beliefs based on recent evidence, not past reputation. A team that was fantastic last autumn might be genuinely struggling now — but the market sometimes takes time to fully catch up. Finding those gaps is where the real edge lives, and this Faroe Islands PL encounter gives us a clear example of how to look for them.

Home side first. They’re carrying a season form of W-L-W-W-L, and that’s been shaping what the bookmakers charge to back them. But we want the version of this team that’s going to walk out onto Við Løkin (Runavík) on match day, not the version that existed two months ago. Their last five home performances give us that. We’re looking at whether the attacks are clicking, whether they’re defensively organised or showing vulnerability at the back, and what the pattern of results actually reflects when you look at the games themselves rather than just the points column.

The visitors have an away record of L-D-L-L-W across the season so far. That’ll have influenced pricing, but the most useful thing we can look at is how they’ve been performing on the road recently. Last five away. Confidence, pressing intensity, how they respond to going behind — all of that shows up in the most recent games in a way that the full seasonal tally simply can’t capture.

Between these two clubs, the head-to-head history says:

Head-to-Head Record:

04.04.26 (PL) Toftir 1 – 2 NSI Runavik
19.09.25 (PL) Toftir 1 – 3 NSI Runavik
03.08.25 (PL) Toftir 1 – 3 NSI Runavik
30.03.25 (PL) NSI Runavik 11 – 1 Toftir
26.10.24 (PL) NSI Runavik 1 – 4 Toftir
29.07.24 (PL) Toftir 1 – 4 NSI Runavik
04.05.24 (PL) Toftir 1 – 2 NSI Runavik
09.05.23 (CUP) Toftir 2 – 1 NSI Runavik
16.10.22 (PL) NSI Runavik 2 – 3 Toftir
26.05.22 (PL) Toftir 0 – 1 NSI Runavik

Those previous encounters help us understand whether there’s a structural reason one team tends to perform better or worse in this specific matchup — something about tactical styles clashing in a particular way.

With the match scheduled for 7:00 pm, we’re putting our weight behind 1 at @@1.20. The probability sits at 60,20,20%, and that’s a number we’re comfortable with based on everything the data is showing us. Don’t leave without checking our other tips for today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for NSI Runavik vs Toftir?
Our selection is 1 — NSI Runavik to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is NSI Runavik's current form?
NSI Runavik have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Toftir been performing recently?
Toftir have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
NSI Runavik lead with 7 wins versus Toftir's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
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