WON
Result: Simba 4-0 Coastal Union
DirectWinPredict Tanzania Fed Cup Simba vs Coastal Union
S

Simba

Home Side
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L
VS
4-0
1:30 pm
Tanzania Fed Cup
C
Coastal Union
Away Side
W D W L W
5W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Simba to win — Saturday, 20th June 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals65% Simba Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-8.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
9
Simba
1
Draws
0
Coastal Union
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Simba won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Simba
Metric
Coastal Union
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheet %
30%
9-1-0
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
90%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 11.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.8%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.7%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.2%) 2-0 (9.8%) 2-1 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Simba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Coastal Union Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Simba
Overall
9.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
8.3
Coastal Union
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
02.04.26LKB
Simba2
Coastal Union0
01.03.25LKB
Coastal Union0
Simba3
04.10.24LKB
Simba2
Coastal Union2
11.08.24CS
Coastal Union0
Simba1
09.03.24LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
21.09.23LKB
Simba3
Coastal Union0
09.06.23LKB
Simba3
Coastal Union1
03.12.22LKB
Coastal Union0
Simba3
07.04.22LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
Recent Form
Simba
17.06.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Simba1
W
14.06.26LKB
Simba2
Pamba1
W
24.05.26LKB
Simba1
Dodoma Jiji0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
W
17.05.26FAC
Simba4
TRA United0
W
14.05.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Simba3
W
10.05.26LKB
Simba4
Tanzania Prisons0
W
06.05.26LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
W
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
Coastal Union
15.06.26LKB
Kinondoni MC1
Coastal Union3
W
12.06.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Namungo1
D
24.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Mashujaa0
W
21.05.26LKB
Coastal Union1
Simba2
L
16.05.26FAC
Coastal Union0
Singida Black Stars (Pen 4 - 2)0
W
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Coastal Union2
W
09.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Coastal Union0
L
05.05.26LKB
Fountain Gate3
Coastal Union2
L
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
W
15.04.26LKB
Coastal Union3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Simba host Coastal Union at KMC Stadium - Dar es Salaam - (Neutral Ground) in Tanzania Fed Cup. We recommend Simba to win as the standout selection.

Simba arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Coastal Union are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Simba, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Coastal Union's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: simba to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


If there’s one habit that separates consistently profitable sports bettors from everyone else, it’s this: they update their beliefs based on recent evidence, not past reputation. A team that was fantastic last autumn might be genuinely struggling now — but the market sometimes takes time to fully catch up. Finding those gaps is where the real edge lives, and this Tanzania Fed Cup encounter gives us a clear example of how to look for them.

Home side first. They’re carrying a season form of W-W-W-W-W, and that’s been shaping what the bookmakers charge to back them. But we want the version of this team that’s going to walk out onto KMC Stadium – Dar es Salaam – (Neutral Ground) on match day, not the version that existed two months ago. Their last five home performances give us that. We’re looking at whether the attacks are clicking, whether they’re defensively organised or showing vulnerability at the back, and what the pattern of results actually reflects when you look at the games themselves rather than just the points column.

The visitors have an away record of W-D-W-L-W across the season so far. That’ll have influenced pricing, but the most useful thing we can look at is how they’ve been performing on the road recently. Last five away. Confidence, pressing intensity, how they respond to going behind — all of that shows up in the most recent games in a way that the full seasonal tally simply can’t capture.

Between these two clubs, the head-to-head history says:

Head-to-Head Record:

21.05.26 (LKB) Coastal Union 1 – 2 Simba
02.04.26 (LKB) Simba 2 – 0 Coastal Union
01.03.25 (LKB) Coastal Union 0 – 3 Simba
04.10.24 (LKB) Simba 2 – 2 Coastal Union
11.08.24 (CS) Coastal Union 0 – 1 Simba
09.03.24 (LKB) Coastal Union 1 – 2 Simba
21.09.23 (LKB) Simba 3 – 0 Coastal Union
09.06.23 (LKB) Simba 3 – 1 Coastal Union
03.12.22 (LKB) Coastal Union 0 – 3 Simba
07.04.22 (LKB) Coastal Union 1 – 2 Simba

Those previous encounters help us understand whether there’s a structural reason one team tends to perform better or worse in this specific matchup — something about tactical styles clashing in a particular way.

With the match scheduled for 1:30 pm, we’re putting our weight behind 1 at @@1.31. The probability sits at 50,30,20%, and that’s a number we’re comfortable with based on everything the data is showing us. Don’t leave without checking our other tips for today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs Coastal Union?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Coastal Union been performing recently?
Coastal Union have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 9 wins versus Coastal Union's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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